No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$10
Polymarket Trader
0x1c8e6573409C3BAf00CA33cdBeb48DB3691baacB-1775827072083
0x1c8e6573409c3baf00ca33cdbeb48db3691baacb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $477.69
- Win rate
- 25%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.85K
- Potential profit
- $2.85K
- User PnL
- -$2.85
Yes position
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on April 20?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.92K
- Potential profit
- $1.92K
- User PnL
- -$2.79
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on April 20?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.9K
- Potential profit
- $1.9K
- User PnL
- -$1.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on April 20?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.9K
- Potential profit
- $1.9K
- User PnL
- -$1.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 30°C on April 20?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $950.05
- Potential profit
- $950.05
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on April 20?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $950.05
- Potential profit
- $950.05
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 31°C on April 20?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $950.05
- Potential profit
- $950.05
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on April 20?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $950.05
- Potential profit
- $950.05
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on April 20?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $662.69
- Potential profit
- $662.69
- User PnL
- -$1.99
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on April 20?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $554.52
- Potential profit
- $554.52
- User PnL
- -$5.55
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 20?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $529.58
- Potential profit
- $529.58
- User PnL
- -$20.83
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on April 20?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $524.35
- Potential profit
- $524.35
- User PnL
- -$18.83
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 15°C on April 21?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $519.22
- Potential profit
- $519.22
- User PnL
- -$1.82
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on April 20?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $515.91
- Potential profit
- $515.91
- User PnL
- -$15.97
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 66-67°F on April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $475.05
- Potential profit
- $475.05
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 20?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $418.51
- Potential profit
- $418.51
- User PnL
- -$18.41
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 6°C on April 20?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $414.02
- Potential profit
- $414.02
- User PnL
- -$16.8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on April 20?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $390.12
- Potential profit
- $390.12
- User PnL
- -$3.32
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on April 20?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $380.2
- Potential profit
- $380.2
- User PnL
- -$3.8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C or higher on April 21?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $371.44
- Potential profit
- $371.44
- User PnL
- -$6.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on April 21?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $353.05
- Potential profit
- $353.05
- User PnL
- -$14.87
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on April 21?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $347.05
- Potential profit
- $347.05
- User PnL
- -$8.87
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 20?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $388.64
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.39
No position
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$1.22
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.9%
- Multiplier
- 20.41x
- User PnL
- -$5.32
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.2% 5,000 shares
- Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 0.5% 2,000 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?Yes 32% 31.25 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 76% 13.16 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Yes 44.2% 45.23 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026?No 8.7% 115.37 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 15, 2026?No 9.2% 108.78 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 77% 24.39 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?No 29% 14.49 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?Yes 46.7% 31.43 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?Yes 63.6% 31.44 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?No 60% 33.33 shares