Polymarket Trader

fair1993

0x1c950733b6bf2bb739f7e33d71a5f9ddc0bd15a9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $18.91
Realized PnL: $6.19
Win rate: 95.8%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Betis win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $8.96
Potential payout: $8.96
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will Eric Adams win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.45
Potential profit: $3.45
User PnL: -$2

No position

Bird flu vaccine in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.35
Potential payout: $2.35
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.35

No position

Will Hezbollah disarm in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.25
Potential payout: $2.25
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.25

No position

U.S. withdraws from Syria in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.22
Potential payout: $2.22
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Will Kamala Harris endorse Mamdani?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.27
Potential profit: $1.27
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.09
Potential payout: $1.09
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Nord Stream pipeline turned on in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.03
Potential payout: $1.03
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy visit Russia in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.01
Potential payout: $1.01
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Coinbase acquire Deribit?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.44

Yes position

Will Kathy Hochul endorse Mamdani?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.9

Yes position

Will David Popovici (ROU) win Gold in Men's 200m Freestyle?

Ends Jul 28, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.88

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.86

Yes position

Will the FDV of Kanye's token be less than $5b 1 day after launch?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.49

No position

Will Hillary Clinton win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.24

No position

Will Biden pardon SBF?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.23

No position

Will China unban Bitcoin in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

No position

Will "The Brutalist" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?

Ends Mar 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will Erdogan repeal presidential term limits?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will the IRS collect more taxes this year than last?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Bird flu pandemic before August 2025?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

GPT-5 released in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Fed emergency rate cut in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will a Republican win Missouri Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Solana above $175 on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will Brad Lander finish third in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Bird flu declared public health emergency before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will Atassut win the most seats in the next Greenland parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the Patriots win Super Bowl 2025?

Ends Feb 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.32

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Yes 0.1% 2,000 shares
Will Betis win the 2025–26 La Liga?

No 99.6% 310 shares
Will Betis win the 2025–26 La Liga?

No 99.7% 318.96 shares
Will Athletic Bilbao win the 2025–26 La Liga?

No 99.6% 343.02 shares
Will Athletic Bilbao win the 2025–26 La Liga?

No 99.7% 343.03 shares
U.S. withdraws from Syria in 2025?

No 90% 2.22 shares
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy visit Russia in 2025?

No 98.8% 1.01 shares
Will Hezbollah disarm in 2025?

No 89% 2.25 shares
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?

No 92% 1.09 shares
Nord Stream pipeline turned on in 2025?

No 96.8% 1.03 shares
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?

No 96.8% 1.13 shares
Will Kamala Harris endorse Mamdani?

No 79% 1.27 shares