Polymarket Trader

margal

0x1caecf6ffcb0e4a11d6c08994632bb9ec918fd15

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $39.33
Realized PnL: $101.16
Win rate: 70.8%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $39.33
Potential payout: $175.21
Potential profit: $135.87
Multiplier: 4.45x
User PnL: -$64.81

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$45

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$9.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$30

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$24

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$25.5

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.48
Potential profit: $43.48
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.98
Potential profit: $29.98
User PnL: -$9.59

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: $0

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.59

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $29

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.64

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.57

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.49

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.68

Up position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.4

Yes position

Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.55

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.08

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$11.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?

Yes 23% 43.48 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Up 50% 20 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Up 74% 12.82 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Up 39% 12.82 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

Up 35% 14.29 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET

Down 31.6% 20 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET

Up 8% 10.02 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET

Up 18% 186.71 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

Up 45.2% 88.59 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET

Up 15.2% 52.75 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET

Down 46% 8.7 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET

Up 51% 50 shares