Polymarket Trader

mrhack2026

0x1cb63fd92efcaaf359ffdf301c40674b2ed793f6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.29K
Realized PnL: $11.74K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 22
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Diana Shnaider position

Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $944.8
Potential profit: $944.8
User PnL: -$601

Yes position

Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $487.94
Potential payout: $488.18
Potential profit: $0.24
User PnL: $6.69

No position

Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during Wisconsin events?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $462.76
Potential profit: $462.76
User PnL: -$350.94

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $341.61
Potential payout: $353.45
Potential profit: $11.84
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $29.18

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $233.42
Potential payout: $266.77
Potential profit: $33.35
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $4.12

Yes position

Will Colombia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $207.58
Potential payout: $233.24
Potential profit: $25.66
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$2.42

Under position

Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 5.5

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 97.8%
Current value: $203.23
Potential payout: $207.91
Potential profit: $4.68
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $3.23

Yes position

Will Warsh say "Rate" or "Cut" during June Press Conference?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $182.39
Potential payout: $189.99
Potential profit: $7.6
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $2.89

Yes position

Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $56.9
Potential payout: $155.88
Potential profit: $98.98
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: -$35.07

No position

Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $139.8
Potential profit: $139.8
User PnL: -$99.26

Alexander Weis position

ITF Ljubljana: Jan Kupcic vs Alexander Weis

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $139.35
Potential profit: $139.35
User PnL: -$131.46

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 94.7%
Current value: $121.89
Potential payout: $128.71
Potential profit: $6.82
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $24.2

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Captain" during the England vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $109.77
Potential payout: $126.17
Potential profit: $16.4
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $9.77

Yes position

Will CA River Plate win on 2026-05-24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $123.48
Potential profit: $123.48
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will Trump say "Paper Tiger" during G7 events?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $71.08
Potential payout: $113.73
Potential profit: $42.65
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: -$38.92

Yes position

Will the White House Press Secretary say "Hormuz" or "Strait" during the next White House Press Briefing?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $109.16
Potential profit: $109.16
User PnL: -$100.77

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $63
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $12
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will Luis Díaz be in Colombia's Starting 11?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $59.13
Potential payout: $59.97
Potential profit: $0.84
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.37

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.9%
Current value: $51.53
Potential payout: $53.76
Potential profit: $2.23
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $1.53

No position

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $47.48
Potential payout: $53.35
Potential profit: $5.87
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$2.52

Yes position

Will Argentina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $49.62
Potential payout: $50.07
Potential profit: $0.45
User PnL: $1.13

No position

Will Trump say "Discombobulator" or "Discombobulated" in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.46
Potential profit: $40.46
User PnL: -$40

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will TikTok be banned again before May?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.32K

Wu position

Mexican Open: Casper Ruud vs Yibing Wu

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.72K

Yes position

Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.62K

Yes position

Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $656.54

Warriors position

Warriors vs. Rockets

Ends May 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $532.69

No position

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $489.71

No position

Will the next Government of Australia be a Liberal–National minority?

Ends May 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $482.09

Yes position

Will Elon say "Tesla" during Baier interview on Thursday?

Ends Mar 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $439.84

No position

Will Elon tweet less than 100 times April 18–25?

Ends Apr 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $309.26

Yes position

Will Trump say 'DOGE' or 'Department of Government Efficiency' during the 2025 State of the Union?

Ends Mar 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $287.66

Yes position

Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $246.29

Yes position

Will JD Vance say "State of the Union" in Wisconsin on Thursday?

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $245.35

No position

Will Trump say "Gulf of America" during the State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $218.93

Yes position

Will Pete Hegseth be Trump's Defense Secretary?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $215.43

Yes position

Will Daniel Noboa win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election?

Ends Apr 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $209.4

Yes position

Will Donald Trump or Elon Musk Say "DOGE" 5+ times during the press conference?

Ends May 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $201.88

No position

Starmer out by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $201.12

Yes position

Will Mike Johnson be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200.62

Yufei Ren position

ITF Wuning: Yidi Yang vs Yufei Ren

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $198.81

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 175–199 times June 6–13?

Ends Jun 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $194.05

Andre Ilagan position

Tyler: Karl Poling vs Andre Ilagan

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $188.38

Yes position

Will Trump say "RFK" or "Kennedy" at Medicare Drug Price Plan Event?

Ends May 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $188.37

No position

Will Victor Ponta advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $188.24

Yes position

Will Trump say "Israel" or "Gaza" during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $185.09

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 5.5

Under 96.2% 103.94 shares
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 5.5

Under 96.2% 103.97 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 82% 288.83 shares
Will Recep Tayyip Erdogan sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

No 98.7% 66.39 shares
Will Benjamin Netanyahu sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

No 95.8% 179.93 shares
Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?

Yes 98.2% 101.34 shares
Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?

Yes 98.4% 23.89 shares
Parma: Ilia Simakin vs Jacopo Vasami

Jacopo Vasami 98.7% 70.93 shares
Dublin: Titouan Droguet vs Charles Broom

Titouan Droguet 97.8% 69.53 shares
Brescia: Ane Mintegi Del Olmo vs Xiaodi You

Ane Mintegi Del Olmo 94% 68.09 shares
Poznan: Mathys Erhard vs Frederico Ferreira Silva

Frederico Ferreira Silva 98% 64.29 shares
Figueira Da Foz: Darja Vidmanova vs Angelina Voloshchuk

Darja Vidmanova 97% 62.89 shares