Polymarket Trader

Frings127

0x1cd0b92c6143530408bbe8c2202f9f80b5b24516

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $8.11K
Realized PnL: $7.36K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Xi Jinping out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $5.92K
Potential payout: $5.94K
Potential profit: $17.81
User PnL: $74.24

No position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 37%
Current value: $1.1K
Potential payout: $2.98K
Potential profit: $1.88K
Multiplier: 2.70x
User PnL: -$392.25

Yes position

Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.52K
Potential profit: $1.52K
User PnL: -$392.81

No position

Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $1.05K
User PnL: -$710.73

Yes position

Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?

Ends Oct 21, 2026

Implied probability: 92%
Current value: $704.01
Potential payout: $765.23
Potential profit: $61.22
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $163.32

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $243.75
Potential payout: $750
Potential profit: $506.25
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: -$2.75

No position

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $536.06
Potential profit: $536.06
User PnL: -$300

No position

US government shutdown by October 1?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $476.19
Potential profit: $476.19
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 10?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $449.66
Potential profit: $449.66
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $65.1
Potential payout: $420
Potential profit: $354.9
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: $14.7

Yes position

Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $72.55
Potential payout: $403.07
Potential profit: $330.52
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: -$54.45

Yes position

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$212

Yes position

Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $390.45
Potential profit: $390.45
User PnL: -$122.01

Yes position

Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $346.44
Potential profit: $346.44
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during the Fox News interview on September 18?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $314.3
Potential profit: $314.3
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

US fertility rate up in Q3 2025?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $301.22
Potential profit: $301.22
User PnL: -$98.35

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$141

Yes position

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$150

Yes position

SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $286.81
Potential profit: $286.81
User PnL: -$50

Thunder position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $283.02
Potential profit: $283.02
User PnL: -$150

Lakers position

Spread: Rockets (-3.5)

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $278.52
Potential profit: $278.52
User PnL: -$150

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $272.76
Potential profit: $272.76
User PnL: -$5.46

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $262.21
Potential profit: $262.21
User PnL: -$50

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?

Ends Sep 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08K

No position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $773.53

Yes position

Will Microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $531.73

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $353.96

No position

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $351.59

No position

U.S. fertility rate up in Q2 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $350

Yes position

Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $339.88

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 5AM ET

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $327.58

No position

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $324.53

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $276.68

Yes position

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $269.62

No position

Will Trump visit China by March 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $244.08

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $243

No position

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $220

No position

Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $204.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10AM ET

Ends Oct 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $197.44

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $185.86

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $167

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $163.88

Knicks position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Dec 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $157.14

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $156.55

Yes position

Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150.04

Yes position

Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $147.79

Pistons position

Pistons vs. Trail Blazers

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $141.18

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 95% 277.77 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?

Yes 27% 538.57 shares
Fed rate hike in 2026?

No 48% 1,458.33 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 36% 277.78 shares
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Anthropic 63.7% 325.03 shares
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Anthropic 23.1% 325.03 shares
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 15% 96.15 shares
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 52% 96.15 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Yes 68% 66.2 shares
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?

No 86% 42.22 shares
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 48% 208.33 shares
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5

Under 90% 188.67 shares