Yes position
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $25.21
- Potential payout
- $3.36K
- Potential profit
- $3.34K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$8.4
Polymarket Trader
Lavincey
@Lavincey_
0x1cdd071bb612de6d66d0c882b676c663697de595
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $413.56
- Realized PnL
- $212.96K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 50
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Under position
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$20.3
Under position
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.84K
- Potential profit
- $1.84K
- User PnL
- -$19.05
Yes position
Will Marine Tondelier be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Oct 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $263.41
- Potential payout
- $1.76K
- Potential profit
- $1.49K
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- $52.68
Yes position
Will Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $124.94
- Potential payout
- $1.32K
- Potential profit
- $1.19K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $6.58
Olga Danilova position
ITF Hurghada: Olga Danilova vs Gabriela Andrea Knutson
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.31K
- Potential profit
- $1.31K
- User PnL
- -$4.1
Bilibili Gaming Junior position
Game Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming Junior (+1.5)
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.21K
- Potential profit
- $1.21K
- User PnL
- -$9.69
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.18K
- Potential profit
- $1.18K
- User PnL
- -$26.09
Amra Sadikovic position
ITF Hurghada: Valentina Ryser vs Amra Sadikovic
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $1.15K
- User PnL
- -$58.38
Yes position
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.14K
- Potential profit
- $1.14K
- User PnL
- -$131.05
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- User PnL
- -$448.42
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on April 18?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- User PnL
- -$145.34
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $1.02K
- User PnL
- -$183.96
Please Not Hero Ban position
Overwatch: Please Not Hero Ban vs MURASH GAMING (BO3) - OCS Japan Stage 2 Group Stage
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- User PnL
- -$78.76
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$127.16
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 77°F or below on April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$82.63
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$41.72
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or higher on April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$124.89
Jets position
Sharks vs. Jets
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$217.61
Under position
Agut vs. Giron: Match O/U 21.5
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or higher on April 18?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $995.99
- Potential profit
- $995.99
- User PnL
- -$16.6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $995.27
- Potential profit
- $995.27
- User PnL
- -$33.21
Guadalupe FC position
Spread: Guadalupe FC (-2.5)
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $987.8
- Potential profit
- $987.8
- User PnL
- -$139.67
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $978.89
- Potential profit
- $978.89
- User PnL
- -$310.75
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $12.94K
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.43K
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.17K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.15K
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.96K
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.22K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.94K
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.77K
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.55K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.17K
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.12K
Yes position
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.94K
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.6%
- Multiplier
- 6.43x
- User PnL
- $4.51K
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.5K
No position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.48K
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Multiplier
- 22.47x
- User PnL
- $4.47K
No position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.45K
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.3K
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.27K
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- $3.87K
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.81K
Yes position
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2%
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- $3.81K
No position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.78K
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.68K
Yes position
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.56K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.4K
Yes position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 8.4%
- Multiplier
- 11.98x
- User PnL
- $3.36K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.3K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.24K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.19K
Yes position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Multiplier
- 35.09x
- User PnL
- $3.14K
Yes position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 7.7%
- Multiplier
- 13.07x
- User PnL
- $3.12K
Yes position
Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.03K
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.02K
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.97K
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- $2.94K
Yes position
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- $2.92K
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.2%
- Multiplier
- 10.93x
- User PnL
- $2.83K
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 25%
- Multiplier
- 4.01x
- User PnL
- $2.76K
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.75K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.74K
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.73K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.73K
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.67K
Yes position
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.61K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.59K
Yes position
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $2.56K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.53K
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.52K
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.42K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 17?No 80% 5 shares
- Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: Colombia O/U 6.5 CornersOver 36% 6.38 shares
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. AthleticsPittsburgh Pirates 82% 30 shares
- Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17?No 91% 30 shares
- Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5Over 48% 30 shares
- ITF Tokyo: Hunter Heck vs Maximus JonesMaximus Jones 7% 30 shares
- ITF Sapporo: Yuka Matsumoto vs Mayuka AikawaMayuka Aikawa 37% 30 shares
- Spread: Austria (-2.5)Jordan 78% 30 shares
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. AthleticsAthletics 54% 30 shares
- Austria vs. Jordan: Both Teams to ScoreYes 43% 30 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 17?No 90% 0.5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 18?No 96.6% 10 shares