Polymarket Trader

0x1ceb...b03c

0x1ceb2da5eaa92c06b0a570f8171826a4e6bbb03c

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $138.44
Realized PnL: $854.5
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 4
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$24.99

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $47.51
Potential payout: $6.33K
Potential profit: $6.29K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$32.49

Yes position

Will Aurora win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.88K
Potential profit: $5.88K
User PnL: -$299.99

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.86K
Potential profit: $4.86K
User PnL: -$29.99

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.67K
User PnL: -$84

Yes position

Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $10.42
Potential payout: $833.34
Potential profit: $822.92
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: $0.42

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $33.53
Potential payout: $817.8
Potential profit: $784.27
Multiplier: 24.39x
User PnL: -$31.47

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $701.52
Potential profit: $701.52
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $589.74
Potential profit: $589.74
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $529.17
Potential profit: $529.17
User PnL: -$63

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $404.4
Potential profit: $404.4
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $395.92
Potential profit: $395.92
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.19
Potential payout: $377
Potential profit: $376.81
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$19.81

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $357.14
Potential profit: $357.14
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $277.78
Potential profit: $277.78
User PnL: -$50

Rico position

Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $227.27
Potential profit: $227.27
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 7.8%
Current value: $10.99
Potential payout: $140.85
Potential profit: $129.86
Multiplier: 12.82x
User PnL: $0.99

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $115.79
Potential profit: $115.79
User PnL: -$4.65

Yes position

Will Bogdan Guskov be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.29
Potential payout: $114.19
Potential profit: $113.91
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$19.71

No position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $114.13
Potential profit: $114.13
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 10.6%
Current value: $11.59
Potential payout: $109.89
Potential profit: $98.3
Multiplier: 9.48x
User PnL: $1.59

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $6.61
Potential payout: $77.78
Potential profit: $71.17
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$8.39

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 28.9%
Current value: $17.33
Potential payout: $60.06
Potential profit: $42.73
Multiplier: 3.47x
User PnL: $7.33

No position

Will Getafe CF win on 2026-04-22?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.62
Potential profit: $6.62
User PnL: -$4.96

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $522.14

Sean Strickland position

UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $136.49

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.57

Justin Gaethje position

UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.3

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 1.3% 6,334.19 shares
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 18% 277.78 shares
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 3.9% 256.41 shares
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 15% 333.33 shares
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 6% 216.67 shares
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 16% 312.5 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 99.8% 142.85 shares
Will Aurora win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Yes 5.2% 1,923.08 shares
Will Aurora win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Yes 5.2% 961.54 shares
Will Aurora win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Yes 5.2% 962.31 shares
Will Aurora win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Yes 4.9% 2,035.45 shares
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Yes 7.1% 140.85 shares