Polymarket Trader

0x1ced...9075

0x1ceded2e1bc2f6bdcbcb0d40ed1b716babf89075

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $54.57
Realized PnL: $110.81
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the October interest rate announcement?

Ends Oct 28, 2026

Implied probability: 65%
Current value: $9.85
Potential payout: $15.15
Potential profit: $5.3
Multiplier: 1.54x
User PnL: $4.85

No position

Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $3.84
Potential payout: $9.25
Potential profit: $5.41
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $4.28
Potential payout: $8.65
Potential profit: $4.37
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: -$0.65

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $4.59
Potential payout: $8.13
Potential profit: $3.54
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$0.37

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 42%
Current value: $3.36
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $4.64
Multiplier: 2.38x
User PnL: -$0.08

No position

Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $3.48
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $4.52
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $0.36

No position

Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $4.62
Potential payout: $7.89
Potential profit: $3.27
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $0.28

No position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $5.06
Potential payout: $7.39
Potential profit: $2.33
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 81%
Current value: $4.92
Potential payout: $6.08
Potential profit: $1.15
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $0.18

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $5.52
Potential payout: $5.97
Potential profit: $0.45
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.57

Yes position

Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $2.98
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $1.02
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $2.06
Potential payout: $2.53
Potential profit: $0.47
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $0.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Under position

Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.74

No position

Will Lu Dort be named to the 2026 NBA All-Defensive First Team?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.9

No position

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
User PnL: $11.76

Over position

Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 4.5

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.82

Ghana position

Spread: England (-1.5)

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.16

Over position

Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.6

Sweden position

Spread: Sweden (-1.5)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.2

Under position

Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.55

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.42

Yes position

IR Iran vs. New Zealand: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.35

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.3

No position

Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.3

No position

Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in June?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.91

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.63

No position

Will Shivon Zilis be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.26

Under position

Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.13

No position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.73

No position

Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56

Under position

United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38

No position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.34

Under position

Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.27

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22

No position

Will United States win on 2026-07-06?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.16

Under position

Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

No 99.2% 17 shares
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?

Yes 75% 4 shares
France vs. Spain: O/U 1.5

Under 23.7% 4.21 shares
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?

No 67.5% 2.77 shares
Will France win on 2026-07-14?

Yes 41.2% 3.05 shares
Will England win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 51.5% 3.05 shares
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5

Under 21.7% 4.6 shares
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5

Under 45% 2.22 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?

No 42.5% 3.01 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 8?

Up 54% 9.57 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?

No 65% 7.51 shares
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5

Under 32% 3.13 shares