Polymarket Trader

0x1cFDd0EbEF66247c68561a9e2b2499F6bD296D5e-1768437796413

0x1cfdd0ebef66247c68561a9e2b2499f6bd296d5e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $781.18
Realized PnL: $997.66
Win rate: 80%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 10
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $537.63
Potential profit: $537.63
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.3m barrels per day in 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2027

Implied probability: 43%
Current value: $217.72
Potential payout: $506.33
Potential profit: $288.61
Multiplier: 2.33x
User PnL: $117.72

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $15.49
Potential payout: $392.16
Potential profit: $376.67
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$4.51

Yes position

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $56.36
Potential payout: $363.64
Potential profit: $307.27
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$143.64

No position

Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $208.76
Potential payout: $334.02
Potential profit: $125.26
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $8.76

Patriots position

Seahawks vs. Patriots

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $303.03
Potential profit: $303.03
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.2%
Current value: $242.19
Potential payout: $251.89
Potential profit: $9.7
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $42.19

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $245.67
Potential profit: $245.67
User PnL: -$100

No position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $243.9
Potential profit: $243.9
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $165.79
Potential profit: $165.79
User PnL: -$100

Timberwolves position

Spurs vs. Timberwolves

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $138.89
Potential profit: $138.89
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.7%
Current value: $24.41
Potential payout: $124.22
Potential profit: $99.81
Multiplier: 5.09x
User PnL: $4.41

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $16.25
Potential payout: $119.05
Potential profit: $102.8
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$3.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $103.81
Potential profit: $103.81
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 2 Switzerland?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.69
Potential profit: $27.69
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $690.86

Yes position

Will the US embassy in Venezuela reopen by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $124.01

No position

US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.75

No position

US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.18

No position

Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.72

Under position

Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 45.5

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.24

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.37

No position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$15.46

No position

U.S. forces seize another oil ship by January 24, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 2 Switzerland?

Yes 10% 100 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.1% 124.22 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.1% 392.16 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.8% 119.05 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 9?

Yes 9.6% 103.81 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on May 9?

Yes 36.1% 27.69 shares
Spurs vs. Timberwolves

Timberwolves 36% 138.89 shares
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by June 30?

No 79.4% 251.89 shares
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?

No 59.9% 334.02 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?

Yes 40.7% 245.67 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?

Yes 18.6% 537.63 shares
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?

No 51.6% 484.08 shares