Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Current value
- $2.78K
- Potential payout
- $47.58K
- Potential profit
- $44.8K
- Multiplier
- 17.09x
- User PnL
- -$716.51
Polymarket Trader
0x1d01...914a
0x1d011298e48e46290178eb7a183d13555e9c914a
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $6.84K
- Realized PnL
- -$273.03
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.3%
- Current value
- $3.46K
- Potential payout
- $14.86K
- Potential profit
- $11.41K
- Multiplier
- 4.30x
- User PnL
- $605.76
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $232.65
- Potential payout
- $4.12K
- Potential profit
- $3.89K
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- -$117.35
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.18K
- Potential profit
- $1.18K
- User PnL
- -$1K
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $904.53
- Potential profit
- $904.53
- User PnL
- -$300
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.1%
- Current value
- $71.75
- Potential payout
- $649.35
- Potential profit
- $577.6
- Multiplier
- 9.05x
- User PnL
- -$28.25
Israel position
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Current value
- $296.44
- Potential payout
- $592.89
- Potential profit
- $296.44
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.56
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $524.93
- Potential profit
- $524.93
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $342.65
- Potential profit
- $342.65
- User PnL
- -$200
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.5
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.11
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$410.65
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 7.5% 13,333.33 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 7.3% 34,246.58 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 19.4% 12,886.6 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18.8% 1,063.83 shares
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8.5% 1,176.47 shares
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8.5% 2,941.18 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16.1% 310.56 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16.6% 602.41 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 15.4% 649.35 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No 33.2% 904.53 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes 5.2% 1,718.21 shares
- Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes 96% 135.53 shares