Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $9.91
- Potential payout
- $175.44
- Potential profit
- $165.53
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Polymarket Trader
0x1d09245E92b2598F952B7B39C1BC7e2984D03CC3-1781772343797
0x1d09245e92b2598f952b7b39c1bc7e2984d03cc3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $398.06
- Realized PnL
- $70.75
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 17
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.1%
- Current value
- $48.88
- Potential payout
- $131.93
- Potential profit
- $83.05
- Multiplier
- 2.70x
- User PnL
- -$1.12
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.1%
- Current value
- $108.63
- Potential payout
- $114.29
- Potential profit
- $5.66
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $4.63
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.6%
- Current value
- $9.73
- Potential payout
- $77.52
- Potential profit
- $67.79
- Multiplier
- 7.97x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $30.36
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $41.07
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $0.36
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $39.75
- Potential payout
- $49.38
- Potential profit
- $9.63
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $30.19
- Potential payout
- $37.5
- Potential profit
- $7.31
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $20.78
- Potential payout
- $25.97
- Potential profit
- $5.19
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $0.78
Yes position
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $18.89
- Potential payout
- $24.69
- Potential profit
- $5.8
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- -$1.11
No position
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.51
- Potential profit
- $24.51
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.6%
- Current value
- $19.08
- Potential payout
- $23.98
- Potential profit
- $4.9
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.92
No position
Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $20.13
- Potential payout
- $20.2
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 64%
- Current value
- $11.61
- Potential payout
- $18.15
- Potential profit
- $6.53
- Multiplier
- 1.56x
- User PnL
- $4.11
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $10.07
- Potential payout
- $14.08
- Potential profit
- $4.01
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-06-27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $10.19
- Potential payout
- $12.82
- Potential profit
- $2.63
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $9.86
- Potential payout
- $10.22
- Potential profit
- $0.36
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.06
Yes position
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.88
Yes position
Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9
Y
Yes position
Will anyone say "Dragon" 20+ times during House of the Dragon E1 S3?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.27
Yes position
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.54
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will France win on 2026-06-22?Yes 91% 59.34 shares
- Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No 62% 54.41 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?Yes 71% 14.08 shares
- Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?Yes 23% 12.83 shares
- Will anyone say "Dragon" 20+ times during House of the Dragon E1 S3?Yes 54.7% 18.27 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 81% 49.38 shares
- Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 81% 24.69 shares
- Will England win on 2026-06-23?Yes 80% 37.5 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-22?Yes 91% 54.95 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?No 40.8% 24.51 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 10% 30 shares
- Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?Yes 10% 10 shares