Yes position
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 90.1%
- Current value
- $563.38
- Potential payout
- $625.29
- Potential profit
- $61.9
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $63.38
Polymarket Trader
Aniallator114
0x1d0c5ced6459c59f4e4ab3e34619873c8b6d39a7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.11K
- Realized PnL
- $264.82
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $87.24
- Potential payout
- $623.14
- Potential profit
- $535.9
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$102.76
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $357.14
- Potential profit
- $357.14
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $320
- Potential profit
- $320
- User PnL
- -$201.6
No position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $262.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $37.5
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $4.5
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $200.2
- Potential payout
- $280
- Potential profit
- $79.8
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $7
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.89
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.99
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.94
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 69% 280 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?No 63% 20 shares
- Will GameStop acquire eBay?No 86% 300 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes 20% 200 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No 96.3% 81.13 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No 79% 632.91 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes 29% 172.41 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes 39.9% 250.73 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?Yes 14% 357.14 shares
- Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes 98.6% 431.14 shares
- Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes 81% 431.15 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?No 85% 352.94 shares