Yes position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $627.11
- Potential payout
- $5.02K
- Potential profit
- $4.39K
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $129.12
Polymarket Trader
0x1d1f...6f8d
0x1d1facee39c62a9163293d40244193299e3e6f8d
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $659.85
- Realized PnL
- $183.18
- Win rate
- 16.7%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $8.59
- Potential payout
- $2.86K
- Potential profit
- $2.86K
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$26.55
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 15?
Ends Dec 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 December 8-14?
Ends Dec 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $428.14
- Potential profit
- $428.14
- User PnL
- -$14
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $302.4
- Potential profit
- $302.4
- User PnL
- -$33.5
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 15?
Ends Dec 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $272.02
- Potential profit
- $272.02
- User PnL
- -$49
Yes position
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.7%
- Current value
- $24.15
- Potential payout
- $250.24
- Potential profit
- $226.09
- Multiplier
- 10.36x
- User PnL
- -$5.85
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 15?
Ends Dec 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $230.53
- Potential profit
- $230.53
- User PnL
- -$5.2
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $199.68
- Potential profit
- $199.68
- User PnL
- -$67
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $195.08
- Potential profit
- $195.08
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $185.19
- Potential profit
- $185.19
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 15?
Ends Dec 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $171.41
- Potential profit
- $171.41
- User PnL
- -$8.2
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 December 8-14?
Ends Dec 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $156.25
- Potential profit
- $156.25
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $154.13
- Potential profit
- $154.13
- User PnL
- -$12
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 17?
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $107.14
- Potential profit
- $107.14
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 December 8-14?
Ends Dec 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $101.83
- Potential profit
- $101.83
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 December 15-21?
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in December?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $87.72
- Potential profit
- $87.72
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on December 15?
Ends Dec 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $85.37
- Potential profit
- $85.37
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $83.33
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 December 8-14?
Ends Dec 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $62.5
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 15?
Ends Dec 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $60
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 December 15-21?
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $60
- User PnL
- -$3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Vitality position
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5)
Ends Dec 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $131.71
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 9?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.43
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $88,000 December 8-14?
Ends Dec 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.62
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 15?
Ends Dec 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.73
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on December 11?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on December 11?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 10?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on December 10?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 13?
Ends Dec 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on December 9?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 12?
Ends Dec 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 11?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 10?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 8?
Ends Dec 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.85
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 13?
Ends Dec 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.46
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 9?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 12?
Ends Dec 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 10?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 11?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 12?
Ends Dec 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 13?
Ends Dec 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 13?
Ends Dec 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Yes 11% 618.18 shares
- Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?Yes 12% 250.24 shares
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Yes 13% 15.38 shares
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Yes 12% 783.33 shares
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Yes 9% 2,111.11 shares
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Yes 9% 488.89 shares
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Yes 10% 1,000 shares
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?Yes 1.3% 769.23 shares
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?Yes 1.2% 2,095.51 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 18-24?Yes 39% 11.54 shares
- Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes 17% 27.87 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?Yes 12% 83.33 shares