CapeCalibratedPM

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $64.5
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $268.83
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: $34.5

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 10.1%
Current value: $26.92
Potential payout: $267.86
Potential profit: $240.94
Multiplier: 9.95x
User PnL: -$3.08

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 6.1%
Current value: $14.76
Potential payout: $243.9
Potential profit: $229.15
Multiplier: 16.53x
User PnL: -$5.24

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 11.3%
Current value: $20.9
Potential payout: $185.77
Potential profit: $164.87
Multiplier: 8.89x
User PnL: -$9.1

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 28.9%
Current value: $52.35
Potential payout: $181.47
Potential profit: $129.12
Multiplier: 3.47x
User PnL: $22.35

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.4
Potential payout: $160.44
Potential profit: $160.04
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$17.86

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $19.45
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $80.55
Multiplier: 5.14x
User PnL: -$1.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 10.7%
Current value: $8.64
Potential payout: $80.75
Potential profit: $72.11
Multiplier: 9.35x
User PnL: $0.64

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.84
Potential payout: $80.28
Potential profit: $79.44
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$1.02

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) settle at <$50 in June?

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.64
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $70.79
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: -$0.36

Yes position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.35
Potential payout: $53.85
Potential profit: $53.5
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$6.65

Karmine Corp position

LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $53.32
Potential profit: $53.3
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$19.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $2.44
Potential payout: $33.19
Potential profit: $30.75
Multiplier: 13.61x
User PnL: $0.39

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $3.3
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $26.7
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 2 - 3 Norway?

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $0.97
Potential payout: $29.71
Potential profit: $28.74
Multiplier: 30.77x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C or higher on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.22
Potential payout: $29.4
Potential profit: $29.18
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$2.54

Yes position

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $26.31
Potential profit: $26.3
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$9.85

Over position

France vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 2.5

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $5.12
Potential payout: $26.25
Potential profit: $21.13
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $1.17
Potential payout: $26.11
Potential profit: $24.93
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$17.54

Mexico position

Spread: Mexico (-1.5)

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $4.26
Potential payout: $23.05
Potential profit: $18.79
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$0.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $1.37
Potential payout: $21.28
Potential profit: $19.9
Multiplier: 15.50x
User PnL: $0.37

Yes position

Will Claire Valdez win the NY-07 Democratic Primary by more than 15%?

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $20.93
Potential payout: $21.18
Potential profit: $0.25
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $17.93

Yes position

Will Dwayne Romero be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $9.59
Potential payout: $20.62
Potential profit: $11.03
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: -$0.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $8.65
Potential payout: $20.35
Potential profit: $11.7
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $3.65

Yes position

Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Sweden?

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $2
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.11
Potential payout: $19.51
Potential profit: $19.4
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$4.59

No position

Will Alex Kelloff be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $8.74
Potential payout: $19.21
Potential profit: $10.47
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: -$0.34

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $19.2
Potential profit: $19.14
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$4.25

Yes position

Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $0.98
Potential payout: $18.39
Potential profit: $17.41
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $2.94
Potential payout: $15.9
Potential profit: $12.96
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$5.1

Clara Tauson position

Wimbledon WTA: Maria Sakkari vs Clara Tauson

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $10.24
Potential payout: $15.87
Potential profit: $5.64
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $0.24

No position

Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 3 Ecuador?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $15.74
Potential payout: $15.84
Potential profit: $0.1
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $15.69
Potential profit: $15.65
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$9.8

Yes position

Will Claire Valdez win the NY-07 Democratic Primary by less than 5%?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $14.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.99

Yes position

Will Claire Valdez win the NY-07 Democratic Primary by 10–15%?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $14.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.99

Team Liquid position

LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $11.22
Potential payout: $14.86
Potential profit: $3.64
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $2.22

Kyrian Jacquet position

Wimbledon ATP: Kyrian Jacquet vs Vilius Gaubas

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $10.07
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $4.21
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $0.07

Benjamin Bonzi position

Wimbledon ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Gabriel Diallo

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $7.18
Potential payout: $14.22
Potential profit: $7.04
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $14.21
Potential profit: $14.07
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$9.39

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Quick strike" during the France vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Match?

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $1.32
Potential payout: $13.84
Potential profit: $12.53
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$0.21

No position

Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $2.54
Potential payout: $13.71
Potential profit: $11.17
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$0.75

Rinky Hijikata position

Wimbledon ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Rinky Hijikata

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $11.3
Potential payout: $13.7
Potential profit: $2.4
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $1.3

Under position

Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $9.09
Potential payout: $13.68
Potential profit: $4.58
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: -$0.21

Over position

Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 7.5 Total Corners

Implied probability: 71%
Current value: $9.62
Potential payout: $13.55
Potential profit: $3.93
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: -$0.27

Yes position

Will Larry Rhoden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 40.3%
Current value: $5.32
Potential payout: $13.21
Potential profit: $7.89
Multiplier: 2.48x
User PnL: -$0.68

No position

Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $10.72
Potential payout: $13.16
Potential profit: $2.44
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $0.72

France position

Spread: France (-2.5)

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $3.88
Potential payout: $12.71
Potential profit: $8.83
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$0.06

Cabo Verde position

Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $4.91
Potential payout: $12.44
Potential profit: $7.52
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $0.06

Argentina position

Spread: Argentina (-2.5)

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $4.34
Potential payout: $11.9
Potential profit: $7.56
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: -$0.54

Over position

Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Norway 1st Half O/U 0.5

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $5.87
Potential payout: $11.63
Potential profit: $5.76
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$0.06

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $196.29

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.82

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.37

Under position

Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.87

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.86

Yes position

Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 DR Congo?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.58

Justin Gaethje position

UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.02

Cabo Verde position

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.74

No position

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.34

No position

Portugal leading at halftime?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.67

Yes position

Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.45

No position

Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.02

LGD Gaming position

Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.55

No position

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.65

Under position

Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 1.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.12

GenOne position

Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs GenOne - Map 2 Winner

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.61

LGD Gaming position

Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.53

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Cavaliers

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.34

HULIGANI position

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.16

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.69

Nick Kyrgios position

Stuttgart Open: Nick Kyrgios vs Corentin Moutet

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.94

Under position

Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.42

Power Rangers position

Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winner

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.88

DN SOOPers position

LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.24

Yes position

Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.63

paiN position

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.63

Team Yandex position

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.13

Under position

Spain vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.77

B8 position

Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.58

San Francisco Giants position

San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.24

Over position

Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.63

Katie Boulter position

HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandez

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.09

Marton Fucsovics position

Libema Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Marton Fucsovics

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.35

Baltimore Orioles position

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.89

Yes position

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.59

No position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.2

B8 position

Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.81

New York Liberty position

Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.79

FUT Esports position

Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.74

G2 position

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 1 Winner

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.69

Athletics position

Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.59

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.55

France position

Spread: France (-2.5)

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.54

HULIGANI position

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs HULIGANI - Game 1 Winner

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.25

No position

Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.96

Nigma Galaxy position

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winner

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.83

Yes position

Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.34

Yes position

Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.15

Over position

Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.48

Monte position

Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2