Polymarket Trader

0x1d2D9Ce56B7c918881Bd2aFDCF07452F10ad6CFf-1772611267656

0x1d2d9ce56b7c918881bd2afdcf07452f10ad6cff

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $27.2
Realized PnL: $11.99
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $79.22
Potential profit: $79.22
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.92
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $66.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $66.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.35
Potential profit: $41.35
User PnL: -$0.95

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 72.8%
Current value: $26.62
Potential payout: $36.58
Potential profit: $9.97
Multiplier: 1.37x
User PnL: -$9.05

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.7
Potential profit: $30.7
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.32
Potential profit: $26.32
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.41
Potential profit: $24.41
User PnL: -$23.48

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $19.23
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.39
Potential profit: $16.39
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.75
Potential profit: $12.75
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.49
Potential profit: $11.49
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.99
Potential profit: $10.99
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.1
Potential profit: $10.1
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on March 27?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.06
Potential profit: $10.06
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in May 2026?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.56
Potential profit: $9.56
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.75
Potential profit: $7.75
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 9.3%
Current value: $0.59
Potential payout: $6.33
Potential profit: $5.74
Multiplier: 10.81x
User PnL: -$0.41

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.71
Potential profit: $5.71
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.37
Potential profit: $4.37
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.11
Potential profit: $4.11
User PnL: -$3.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33
Potential profit: $3.33
User PnL: -$0.96

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.2

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.97

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.96

No position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.95

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.95

No position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.94

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.93

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.92

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.89

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.89

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.87

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C or higher on March 20?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

No position

Will Jaylen Brown win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will Alex Caruso win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 9°C on March 19?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 Eastern Conference Finals MVP?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C or higher on March 27?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C or higher on March 24?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 11°C or below on March 25?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will Luka Doncic win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 15.8% 6.33 shares
Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 99.9% 6.01 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 27.2% 3.68 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

No 97.5% 36.58 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 98.7% 2.03 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 8.7% 11.49 shares
Will Türkiye score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99.9% 5.61 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 12.9% 7.75 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 9.1% 10.99 shares
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?

Yes 99.8% 3.01 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

No 76.7% 4.11 shares
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?

Yes 99.9% 6.01 shares