Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $413
- Potential payout
- $6.35K
- Potential profit
- $5.94K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$534.06
Polymarket Trader
whataguy
0x1d2e23eb7b3c80a82dd582289e4136a0bbf6ec4b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $413
- Realized PnL
- -$263.11
- Win rate
- 21.1%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $934.14
- Potential profit
- $934.14
- User PnL
- -$65.39
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Trump" during his victory/concession speech?
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4
No position
SBF released from custody in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Rent" during his victory/concession speech?
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05
Yes position
Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.81
No position
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Yes position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Yes position
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.42
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.43
No position
Will A Minecraft Movie be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.57
Yes position
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Yes position
Will Ne Zha 2 be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.98
Yes position
Longest Bill Ackman tweet of all time by Wednesday?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.1
Yes position
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.44
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.59
Yes position
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.69
Yes position
Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.16
Yes position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$95.07
Yes position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$158.93
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 7% 934.14 shares
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?Yes 9% 706.63 shares
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?Yes 23% 579.43 shares
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?Yes 21% 16 shares
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?Yes 20% 111.2 shares
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by March 31?Yes 9% 1,772.71 shares
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by March 31?Yes 12.6% 113 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 18% 64.17 shares
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by March 31?Yes 21% 6.12 shares
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by March 31?Yes 18.3% 1,665.83 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 19% 1,604.49 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 14% 4,252.5 shares