No position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $43.5
- Potential payout
- $158.19
- Potential profit
- $114.69
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- $23.73
Polymarket Trader
0x1d36...e0d7
0x1d361ed35fc4b0c229d1b6369acd3828718ae0d7
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $377.39
- Realized PnL
- -$33.12
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $16.71
- Potential payout
- $123.75
- Potential profit
- $107.04
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$3.09
No position
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $103.01
- Potential payout
- $119.09
- Potential profit
- $16.08
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $92.29
No position
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 69%
- Current value
- $36.05
- Potential payout
- $52.25
- Potential profit
- $16.2
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- $7.73
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $51.3
- Potential payout
- $51.33
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $31.29
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71%
- Current value
- $35.24
- Potential payout
- $49.63
- Potential profit
- $14.39
- Multiplier
- 1.41x
- User PnL
- -$1.26
No position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $39.88
- Potential payout
- $40.22
- Potential profit
- $0.34
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $22.51
- Potential payout
- $25.43
- Potential profit
- $2.92
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $2.67
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $21.31
- Potential payout
- $23.29
- Potential profit
- $1.98
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $1.51
Yes position
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $0.93
- Potential payout
- $6.86
- Potential profit
- $5.93
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$5.52
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $4.07
- Potential payout
- $5.62
- Potential profit
- $1.55
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
Yes position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.89
- Potential payout
- $2.89
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.61
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.52
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
N
No position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Y
Yes position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Y
Yes position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.82
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.6%
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$3.76
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$8.09
Y
Yes position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.54
Y
Yes position
Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19.88
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?No 57% 33.89 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 71.2% 6.97 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 60.1% 10.55 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 60% 9.48 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 6% 14.99 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes 46.2% 23.77 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?No 99.8% 9.05 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 68% 22.17 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 79% 25.06 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?No 98.9% 20.02 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?No 85% 23.29 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.9% 7.68 shares