Polymarket Trader

0x1D3a472DEf8b6Bf22a70916a01b11eC6A2a75fAD-1766696322400

0x1d3a472def8b6bf22a70916a01b11ec6a2a75fad

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $577.92
Realized PnL: $1.01K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 23
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $295.14
Potential payout: $621.34
Potential profit: $326.2
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $55.14

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $280.85
Potential payout: $617.25
Potential profit: $336.4
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: -$39.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $514.29
Potential profit: $514.29
User PnL: -$36

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $402.95
Potential profit: $402.95
User PnL: -$106.58

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $1.94
Potential payout: $155.13
Potential profit: $153.19
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$10.47

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $98.04
Potential profit: $98.04
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1

No position

U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44
Potential profit: $44
User PnL: -$1.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.05
Potential profit: $37.05
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.99
Potential profit: $24.99
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.79
Potential profit: $16.79
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.39
Potential profit: $16.39
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.65
Potential profit: $14.65
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 2, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.72
Potential profit: $7.72
User PnL: -$4.86

Under 2.5 position

Daniil Medvedev vs. Flavio Cobolli: Total Sets O/U 2.5

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.22
Potential profit: $6.22
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $5.88
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.63
Potential profit: $2.63
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $427.17

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $203.47

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.98

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.79

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20.59

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.49

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.41

Yes position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.96

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.79

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.51

Yes position

Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 67°F or below on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.94

Afghanistan position

International T20 Series: Afghanistan vs West Indies (Game 1)

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.07

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.02

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.94

New Zealand position

International T20 Series: New Zealand vs USA (Game 1)

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.77

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.71

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Yes 8% 155.13 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Yes 38.6% 621.34 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Yes 51.8% 617.25 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Yes 95.9% 587.9 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET

Up 19% 10.53 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET

Up 44% 4.55 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?

Yes 9% 522.27 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

Down 11% 18.18 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

Up 74% 13.51 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?

Yes 4% 475.97 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?

Yes 25.7% 475.98 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?

Yes 35.4% 522.27 shares