SamuelOlteanu

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $6.75
Potential payout: $4.5K
Potential profit: $4.49K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Dragoș Pîslaru be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $61.24
Potential payout: $3.6K
Potential profit: $3.54K
Multiplier: 58.82x
User PnL: $47.25

Yes position

Will Vasile Dîncu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $10.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.99K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $4.5

Yes position

Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Implied probability: 23.6%
Current value: $571.49
Potential payout: $2.43K
Potential profit: $1.86K
Multiplier: 4.25x
User PnL: $95.73

Yes position

Will Sebastian Burduja be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $4
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Dacian Cioloș be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $9.58
Potential payout: $1.92K
Potential profit: $1.91K
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: $0.58

Yes position

Will Emil Boc be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Implied probability: 18.6%
Current value: $184.26
Potential payout: $993.33
Potential profit: $809.07
Multiplier: 5.39x
User PnL: -$4.75

Yes position

Will Cătălin Drulă be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $499.25
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.25

Yes position

Will Dan Motreanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $20.24
Potential payout: $481.84
Potential profit: $461.6
Multiplier: 23.81x
User PnL: -$49.76

Yes position

Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $4.15
Potential payout: $437.23
Potential profit: $433.08
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$45.85

Yes position

Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $18.18
Potential payout: $418.91
Potential profit: $400.73
Multiplier: 23.04x
User PnL: -$8.18

Yes position

Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $1.8
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $398.2
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Alexandru Rogobete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $1.27
Potential payout: $362.85
Potential profit: $361.58
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$3.73

Yes position

Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $331.83
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.83
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $332.5
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.17

Yes position

Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $1.17
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $332.17
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$1.83

Yes position

Will Anca Dragu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.83
Potential payout: $332.41
Potential profit: $331.58
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$3.17

Yes position

Will Șerban Matei be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.45
Potential payout: $302.67
Potential profit: $302.21
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$2.55

Yes position

Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $1.57
Potential payout: $285.71
Potential profit: $284.14
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$0.43

Yes position

Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $1.25
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $248.75
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.63
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.38
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.38

Yes position

Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.63
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.38
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.38

Yes position

Will Alexandru Rafila be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $1.31
Potential payout: $238.6
Potential profit: $237.28
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$2.69

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.68

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.89

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?

Implied probability: 37.5%
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: $37.01

No position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19.45

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.95

Yes position

Will Raluca Turcan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $4

No position

Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?

Implied probability: 72.5%
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $2.04

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.01

Yes position

Will Lucian Isar be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.41

Yes position

Will Hunor Kelemen be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.66

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?

Implied probability: 27.5%
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$2.27

Yes position

Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$3.2

Yes position

Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Implied probability: 1.4%
Multiplier: 71.43x
User PnL: -$5.33

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$8.44

No position

Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Implied probability: 99.6%
User PnL: -$18.3

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?

Implied probability: 21.5%
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$34.42

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat?

Implied probability: 20%
Multiplier: 5.00x
User PnL: -$39.82

Yes position

Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$45.47

Yes position

Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Implied probability: 3.1%
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: -$58.73

Yes position

Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Implied probability: 16.7%
Multiplier: 6.01x
User PnL: -$61.09

Yes position

Will Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?