No position
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $12.97
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $7.77
Polymarket Trader
0x1d52...7712
0x1d5238b1060dc45c343b859a65dfdecd80f17712
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $38.52
- Realized PnL
- $16.96
- Win rate
- 70%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $4.9
- Potential payout
- $9.16
- Potential profit
- $4.26
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 48%
- Current value
- $4.08
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $4.42
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $4.68
- Potential payout
- $8.14
- Potential profit
- $3.46
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 58%
- Current value
- $4.72
- Potential payout
- $8.13
- Potential profit
- $3.42
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- -$0.24
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $1.14
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $4.86
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.24
No position
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $4.86
- Potential payout
- $5.65
- Potential profit
- $0.79
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $1.18
- Potential payout
- $2.77
- Potential profit
- $1.59
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
N
No position
Will the biggest blowout win in the 2026 NBA Finals be by 30 or more points?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.06
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.9
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.59
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.11
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.43
N
No position
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 50+ times during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.19
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
N
No position
Will Warsh say "Chair" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.49
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.9
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?Yes 49% 9 shares
- Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?No 85% 5.65 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 30% 5.87 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 98.7% 6.02 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes 23% 6 shares
- Will Warsh say "Inflation" 50+ times during June Press Conference?No 73% 8.11 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes 61% 8.13 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?Yes 50% 5.8 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 75.7% 6.61 shares
- Will Warsh say "Chair" during June Press Conference?No 21% 7.1 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes 43% 2.77 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes 58% 8.14 shares