Polymarket Trader

zwxokx2

0x1d55aeab2ac1da8ce5887d8709a8328b2051f488

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $6.75K
Realized PnL: $3.86K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $5.26K
Potential payout: $7.26K
Potential profit: $2K
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $2.63K

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $28.96
Potential payout: $3.41K
Potential profit: $3.38K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$3.1K

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $8.83
Potential payout: $2.52K
Potential profit: $2.51K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$117.31

Yes position

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 24.8%
Current value: $420.83
Potential payout: $1.7K
Potential profit: $1.28K
Multiplier: 4.04x
User PnL: $158.67

No position

Epstein client list released by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $1.03K
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $14.08
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $238.24

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $399.99
Potential profit: $399.99
User PnL: -$232.99

Yes position

Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $299.85
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$9.45

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $532.27

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $525.84

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by May 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $456.14

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $414.5

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $317.42

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $235

Yes position

DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $208.32

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by May 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $151.15

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $126.9

Yes position

Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $126.47

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115.27

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.58

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.82

Yes position

Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 31 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.75

No position

Will Trump Insult Xi this week?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.6

No position

Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.89

No position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $58.87

No position

Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.24

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46

No position

Will the US x Iran ceasefire be extended by April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.47

No position

US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.47

Yes position

Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Yes position

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.73

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.16

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?

Yes 0.7% 5,840.52 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?

Yes 0.8% 137.41 shares
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Yes 8% 997.48 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Yes 87% 216.42 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?

Yes 0.8% 1,819.56 shares
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Yes 8% 96.43 shares
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Yes 8.4% 18.45 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?

No 90.2% 111.27 shares
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Yes 20.6% 384.64 shares
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Yes 17.3% 60.79 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?

No 90.8% 20 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?

No 90.9% 19.99 shares