Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36.32K
- Potential profit
- $36.32K
- User PnL
- -$96.86
Polymarket Trader
desth59
0x1d5722b395ae13a89aa8a05c2f12915897e2c5b6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.23K
- Realized PnL
- $1.71K
- Win rate
- 79.2%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.43K
- Potential profit
- $8.43K
- User PnL
- -$1.48K
Jeremy Stephens position
UFC 328: Jeremy Stephens vs. King Green (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.77K
- Potential profit
- $1.77K
- User PnL
- -$761.96
No position
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.38K
- Potential profit
- $1.38K
- User PnL
- -$337.95
Y
Yes position
Iran successfully targets shipping by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $1.08K
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $221.41
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $713
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $700.73
- Potential profit
- $700.73
- User PnL
- -$294
Yes position
Will Sean Strickland win by KO or TKO?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $498.6
- Potential profit
- $498.6
- User PnL
- -$73.88
Waldo Cortes-Acosta position
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $240.09
- Potential profit
- $240.09
- User PnL
- -$114.62
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $217.39
- Potential profit
- $217.39
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $214.06
- Potential profit
- $214.06
- User PnL
- -$25
Y
Yes position
Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 69%
- Current value
- $143.73
- Potential payout
- $208.33
- Potential profit
- $64.6
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- $118.73
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.39
- Potential payout
- $112.56
- Potential profit
- $112.16
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$1.71
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50.98
- Potential profit
- $50.98
- User PnL
- -$19.96
Yes position
Will Alex Smalley win the 2026 PGA Championship?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.66
- Potential profit
- $31.66
- User PnL
- -$5.35
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $451.43
Yes position
US government shutdown by October 1?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $243.03
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $221.39
Yes position
Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $198.57
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $108.74
Yes position
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $84.72
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $83.88
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $65.5
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $64.62
Yes position
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.68
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.63
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.73
Yes position
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $26.22
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.12
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- $14.93
Yes position
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 PGA Championship?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.95
Yes position
Will the government shutdown end November 12?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.85
Grant Dawson position
UFC 328: Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.86
Yes position
NATO x Russia military clash in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.76
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.25
Yes position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.08
Yes position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.07
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$7.11
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran successfully targets shipping by June 30?Yes 28.3% 1,302.4 shares
- Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27?Yes 12% 208.33 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?Yes 1.9% 112.56 shares
- S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on June 8?No 24.4% 1,384.81 shares
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 8?Up 64.7% 651.29 shares
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 8?Up 68.1% 651.29 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?Yes 36.6% 112.5 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?Yes 40.3% 90 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?Yes 42% 600 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June?Yes 6% 806 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?Yes 3.9% 1,554.72 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?Yes 4.5% 689 shares