Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.7%
- Current value
- $3.9K
- Potential payout
- $4.72K
- Potential profit
- $818.36
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $304.75
Polymarket Trader
bravelittleguy
@mainmanmain11
0x1d66d98518f21288355bbc6455c5ad29b4a3928f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $18.59K
- Realized PnL
- $3.69K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $3.8K
- Potential payout
- $4.34K
- Potential profit
- $542.87
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $185.21
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $1.46K
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- -$62.5
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.4%
- Current value
- $1.61K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $392
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $4
Yes position
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $26.55
- Potential payout
- $1.83K
- Potential profit
- $1.8K
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$4.02
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.2%
- Current value
- $1.67K
- Potential payout
- $1.77K
- Potential profit
- $103.77
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $12.24
No position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $1.29K
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $7.15
- User PnL
- $8.45
No position
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $1.01K
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $4.55
- User PnL
- $5.64
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.8%
- Current value
- $137.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $862.5
- Multiplier
- 7.27x
- User PnL
- -$9.5
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Current value
- $749.24
- Potential payout
- $800.05
- Potential profit
- $50.8
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $3.47
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $587.03
- Potential payout
- $720.37
- Potential profit
- $133.34
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$22.61
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $452.94
- Potential payout
- $573.35
- Potential profit
- $120.4
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $5.73
No position
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $499.67
- Potential payout
- $508.83
- Potential profit
- $9.16
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.63
Yes position
Base FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $365.7
- Potential payout
- $465.85
- Potential profit
- $100.16
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$14.3
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $362
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $38
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $50
Yes position
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $261.72
- Potential payout
- $360.99
- Potential profit
- $99.27
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- -$19.85
Yes position
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $312.66
- Potential profit
- $312.66
- User PnL
- -$200
No position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $202.34
- Potential payout
- $203.56
- Potential profit
- $1.22
- User PnL
- $2.34
No position
Will Trump say "Transgender" during Miami address?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $181.55
- Potential profit
- $181.55
- User PnL
- -$110.7
No position
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 70%
- Current value
- $107.77
- Potential payout
- $153.95
- Potential profit
- $46.19
- Multiplier
- 1.43x
- User PnL
- -$17.13
No position
Will Trump say "Biden" during tech signing event on Wednesday?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$49.5
Yes position
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by February 15?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $99.99
- User PnL
- -$41.99
No position
Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76%
- Current value
- $49.66
- Potential payout
- $65.34
- Potential profit
- $15.68
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$0.34
No position
Will Trump meet with Nicolás Maduro in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $49.73
- Potential payout
- $54.35
- Potential profit
- $4.62
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $850.21
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $690.31
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $408.57
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $399
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $282.25
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $238.26
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $204.7
No position
Will Base launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.38
No position
Iran leadership change by March 13?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.81
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.47
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $44.32
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.86
No position
Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $40.96
No position
Will Jerome Powell be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.9
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- $36
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.6
Seahawks position
Seahawks vs. Patriots
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.96
No position
Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.52
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $25
No position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.59
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.8T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $24.55
No position
Will Shayne say "Airdrop" during 60 Minutes?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.27
No position
Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
No position
Will Iran claim responsibility for Oslo Embassy attack?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.82
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?Yes 99.9% 1,000 shares
- Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes 2.9% 577.5 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.4% 800.04 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 75.5% 1,724.51 shares
- Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?No 98.1% 508.83 shares
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?No 83% 1,770.97 shares
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?No 82.3% 1,822.01 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 71.5% 790.07 shares
- Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes 8% 1,155 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?No 95.3% 1,251.84 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?No 53% 22.29 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?No 71% 1,717.48 shares