No position
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $32.9
- Potential payout
- $33.44
- Potential profit
- $0.54
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.9
Polymarket Trader
PoisonIvyManor
0x1d686044f9ba2916acf63d282c58eb544c252ac5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $32.9
- Realized PnL
- $24.35
- Win rate
- 86.7%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.9
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.77
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.71
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by February 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Dilan Yeşilgöz-Zegerius become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.43
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.69
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?No 95.7% 33.44 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 85.5% 39.77 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?No 92.4% 38.21 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?No 96.8% 38.21 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?No 98.4% 37.3 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?No 96.5% 37.31 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 96.1% 35.96 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 97.3% 35.96 shares
- Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?No 92% 2.19 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 94% 36.55 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 93% 36.56 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 29?No 37% 30 shares