Polymarket Trader

0x1d6B068a81c8cEa3f325129ef452ffdd22Fdea44-1773151343221

0x1d6b068a81c8cea3f325129ef452ffdd22fdea44

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $85.17
Realized PnL: $106.2
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 34.6%
Current value: $7.31
Potential payout: $21.1
Potential profit: $13.79
Multiplier: 2.89x
User PnL: $2.31

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $9.9
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $9.33
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $13.12
Potential payout: $14.49
Potential profit: $1.38
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $3.12

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $2.93
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $11.36
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 77.6%
Current value: $9.75
Potential payout: $12.58
Potential profit: $2.82
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $1.19
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $11.31
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $0.19

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $10.46
Potential payout: $10.48
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $0.46

No position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $9.96
Potential payout: $10.21
Potential profit: $0.25
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $5.85
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $4.15
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$1.35

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 65%
Current value: $4.71
Potential payout: $7.25
Potential profit: $2.54
Multiplier: 1.54x
User PnL: -$0.29

Yes position

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $4.97
Potential payout: $5.81
Potential profit: $0.84
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$0.03

No position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $5.02
Potential payout: $5.11
Potential profit: $0.09
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.02

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.61

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.8

Up position

Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on April 13?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.39

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.26

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.88

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.86

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.13

Yes position

Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.11

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.97

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.74

Yes position

Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.67

Moutet/Reymond position

Wimbledon ATP (Doubles): Moutet/Reymond vs Monday/Wendelken

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.33

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $3.28

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) settle at $3,800-$4,200 in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.76

No position

Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.9

No position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.31

Yes position

Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the March meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.24

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17.1%
Multiplier: 5.87x
User PnL: -$0.58

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.8

Yes position

Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw?

Yes 8% 12.5 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

No 93% 14.28 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 6?

Up 69% 7.25 shares
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?

Yes 0.2% 0.27 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17.4% 25.38 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?

Yes 21% 14.29 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?

Yes 52% 19.23 shares
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 69% 14.49 shares
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Yes 99.9% 16.12 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 0.1% 10,000 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 0.1% 10,000 shares
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Yes 62% 16.13 shares