Polymarket Trader

MKB

0x1d77fa6fdb46e7306b6165f7d412159f207cfdbe

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.62K
Realized PnL: $5.43K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $225.15
Potential payout: $150.1K
Potential profit: $149.87K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.12K

Yes position

Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $100K
User PnL: -$868.9

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $250
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $99.75K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$415

Yes position

Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $708.74
Potential payout: $25.77K
Potential profit: $25.06K
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: -$126.28

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $38.5
Potential payout: $11K
Potential profit: $10.96K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$49.49

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $66.04
Potential payout: $10.16K
Potential profit: $10.09K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$44.72

Yes position

Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $35
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.97K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $25
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.98K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $175
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.83K
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $345
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.65K
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: $235

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $214
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.79K
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: $34

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $173.18
Potential payout: $5.68K
Potential profit: $5.5K
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: $5.89

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $60.03
Potential payout: $5.22K
Potential profit: $5.16K
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$28.71

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $94.35
Potential payout: $5.1K
Potential profit: $5.01K
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: -$12.8

Yes position

Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $100.71
Potential payout: $3.6K
Potential profit: $3.5K
Multiplier: 35.71x
User PnL: -$822.2

Yes position

Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $8.75
Potential payout: $3.5K
Potential profit: $3.49K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $1.75

Yes position

Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.01K
Potential profit: $3.01K
User PnL: -$69.63

Yes position

Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $69.69
Potential payout: $2.28K
Potential profit: $2.22K
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: $47.49

Yes position

Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $325.51
Potential payout: $1.45K
Potential profit: $1.12K
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: $7.23

No position

Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $220.63
Potential payout: $832.57
Potential profit: $611.94
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$313.04

No position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in March 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $600
User PnL: -$486.83

No position

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $478.82
Potential payout: $598.52
Potential profit: $119.7
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $6.09

Yes position

Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Tour de France 2025: Will 145+ riders finish?

Ends Jul 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $734.69

No position

Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $597.83

Yes position

Will 2025 be the second hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $527.38

Yes position

Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $391.12

No position

FIFA Club World Cup: 200+ Goals Scored?

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $299.53

No position

Foreign intervention in Gaza in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $203.75

Yes position

Will the Australian Labor Party win 85 or more seats?

Ends May 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $197.86

No position

Conservatives win majority in Canadian election?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $195.3

Yes position

Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $185

Yes position

Will Simon Yates win the Giro d’Italia 2025?

Ends Jun 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $183.21

No position

Will Germany win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $174.83

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $165.86

Yes position

Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $151.34

Yes position

Will Florian Lipowitz finish in the top five at the Tour de France 2025?

Ends Jul 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $147.34

Yes position

Will the New Democrats win the second most seats in the next Ontario Parliamentary election?

Ends Feb 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $146

No position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.05–1.10ºC in July 2025?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $141.62

Yes position

Will Jeannette Jara win between 24% and 28% of votes in the first round?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $139.99

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $136

Yes position

Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129.96

No position

Will George Simion win by over 18%?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128.37

No position

Will Finland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $123.21

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114

No position

Will Germany win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.01

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 16.1%
Multiplier: 6.21x
User PnL: $106.09

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 15% 189 shares
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 35% 91.29 shares
Will Luka Modrić score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 64% 10 shares
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 32% 99.99 shares
Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 99.9% 25 shares
Will Croatia win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3% 10 shares
Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 7.2% 20 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.2% 600 shares
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.6% 10,000 shares
Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 51% 150 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.2% 1,500 shares
Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 69.1% 50 shares