Polymarket Trader

0x1D7d5A902116fBb24B937d1E413e4B4f818432AC-1768037178035

0x1d7d5a902116fbb24b937d1e413e4b4f818432ac

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $143.52
Realized PnL: $98.22
Win rate: 69.2%
Open positions: 23
Closed positions: 13
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Trump out as President by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $194.3
Potential profit: $194.2
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$9.62

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.4%
Current value: $24.63
Potential payout: $120.48
Potential profit: $95.86
Multiplier: 4.89x
User PnL: -$5.37

Yes position

Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $113.64
Potential profit: $113.64
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $108.72
Potential payout: $111
Potential profit: $2.28
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $99.84

Yes position

Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.91
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will France win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $66.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $58.82
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $38.46
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $35
User PnL: -$4.55

Yes position

Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.48
Potential profit: $34.48
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.48
Potential profit: $34.48
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.57
Potential profit: $28.57
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.27
Potential profit: $27.27
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.97
Potential profit: $25.97
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $2.5
Potential payout: $22.73
Potential profit: $20.23
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$2.4

Yes position

Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $7.57
Potential payout: $14.71
Potential profit: $7.13
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: -$2.43

Yes position

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.72

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.91

Yes position

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.81

Yes position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

No position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.51

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $4

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.75

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.71

No position

Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.65

No position

Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.8

Yes position

Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$8.05

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Yes 8% 111 shares
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?

Yes 13% 35 shares
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 2.9% 50 shares
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Yes 18% 20 shares
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Yes 22% 20 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 46% 19.99 shares
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?

No 65% 20 shares
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 19% 50 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 51% 66.66 shares
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?

Yes 12% 20 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 24.9% 120.48 shares
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?

Yes 2.9% 34.48 shares