Polymarket Trader

Obilic

0x1d7fde668dd56ace7c3c2219e88f5bd4c663a878

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $15.37K
Realized PnL: $61.97K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $10.32K
Potential payout: $13.49K
Potential profit: $3.17K
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $2.31K

No position

Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 42%
Current value: $5.05K
Potential payout: $12.03K
Potential profit: $6.98K
Multiplier: 2.38x
User PnL: $149.89

Alexander Hernandez position

UFC Fight Night: Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia (Lightweight, Prelims)

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.86K
Potential profit: $9.86K
User PnL: -$5.13K

Youssef Zalal position

UFC Fight Night: Aljamain Sterling vs. Youssef Zalal (Featherweight, Main Card)

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.89K
Potential profit: $7.89K
User PnL: -$4.31K

Alex Pereira position

UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7K
Potential profit: $7K
User PnL: -$3.52K

Yes position

Will Nithya Raman finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.07K
Potential profit: $5.07K
User PnL: -$55.75

Flavio Cobolli position

Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.02K
Potential profit: $5.02K
User PnL: -$200.64

Raptors position

NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Raptors vs. Cavaliers

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.09K
Potential profit: $4.09K
User PnL: -$1.19K

Derrick Lewis position

UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.02K
Potential profit: $4.02K
User PnL: -$851.3

Daniel Santos position

UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card)

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.94K
Potential profit: $2.94K
User PnL: -$1.8K

Jordan Leavitt position

UFC Fight Night: Joanderson Brito vs. Jordan Leavitt (Featherweight, Prelims)

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.92K
Potential profit: $2.92K
User PnL: -$1.17K

Yes position

Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.59K
Potential profit: $2.59K
User PnL: -$1.04K

Yes position

Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$1.04K

Yes position

Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.33K
Potential profit: $2.33K
User PnL: -$452.15

Knicks position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.05K
Potential profit: $2.05K
User PnL: -$797.94

Thunder position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$847.81

Belal Muhammad position

UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$1K

Bruno Silva position

UFC Fight Night: Bruno Silva vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Prelims)

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.9K
Potential profit: $1.9K
User PnL: -$1.01K

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.33K
Potential profit: $1.33K
User PnL: -$399

Yes position

Iran leadership change by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.07K
Potential profit: $1.07K
User PnL: -$107.02

Tatsuro Taira position

UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $916.08
Potential profit: $916.08
User PnL: -$549.65

Menery position

Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $747.31
Potential profit: $747.31
User PnL: -$149.46

No position

Will Ro Khanna advance from the CA-17 primary?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $653.68
Potential profit: $653.68
User PnL: -$3.91

Ray J position

Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $410.03
Potential profit: $410.03
User PnL: -$126.63

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.39K

Carlos Prates position

UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8K

No position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh for Treasury Secretary?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.13K

Jose Ochoa position

UFC 328: Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa (Flyweight, Early Prelims)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.9K

Yes position

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.51K

Yes position

Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?

Ends Jul 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.22K

No position

Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.1K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.08K

Bautista position

UFC Fight Night: Mario Bautista vs. Vinicius Oliveira (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7K

Spivac position

UFC Fight Night: Ante Delija vs. Serghei Spivac (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.6K

Yaroslav Amosov position

UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.16K

Uros Medic position

UFC Fight Night: Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic (Welterweight, Prelims)

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.95K

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.9K

Sean Brady position

UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.85K

Davey Grant position

UFC Fight Night: Davey Grant vs. Adrian Luna Martinetti (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.82K

Alexander Volkov position

UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.71K

Tatiana Suarez position

UFC 327: Tatiana Suarez vs. Loopy Godínez (Women's Strawweight, Early Prelims)

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.59K

Sean Strickland position

UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.53K

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.44K

Paulo Costa position

UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38K

Yes position

US military action against Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33K

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.31K

Costa position

UFC 318: Costa vs. Kopylov

Ends Jul 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.29K

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.27K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Alex Pereira 51% 2,000 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Derrick Lewis 20% 1,000 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Derrick Lewis 20% 1,000 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Derrick Lewis 21% 5,022 shares
Knicks vs. Spurs

Knicks 24% 1,000 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)

Diego Lopes 58% 1,500 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Derrick Lewis 22% 1,000 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Alex Pereira 50% 5,000 shares
Spurs vs. Knicks

Knicks 39% 2,046 shares
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev

Flavio Cobolli 4% 5,016 shares
UFC Fight Night: Joanderson Brito vs. Jordan Leavitt (Featherweight, Prelims)

Jordan Leavitt 40% 2,916 shares
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Silva vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Prelims)

Bruno Silva 53% 1,900 shares