Yes position
Will Trump win the 2020 U.S. presidential election?
Ends Nov 20, 2020- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $63.33K
- Potential profit
- $63.33K
- User PnL
- -$22.94K
Polymarket Trader
REAL.BADMAN
0x1d9a2c92bf630cc92b1b20a950008e84aa56db3f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $147.07
- Realized PnL
- $53.29K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Hanwha Life Esports position
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5)
Ends Oct 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.77K
- Potential profit
- $29.77K
- User PnL
- -$3.36K
Yes position
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.5K
- Potential profit
- $8.5K
- User PnL
- -$5.52K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 12PM ET
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.73K
- Potential profit
- $5.73K
- User PnL
- -$2.8K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 10AM ET
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.29K
- Potential profit
- $4.29K
- User PnL
- -$2.01K
Yes position
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Current value
- $140.36
- Potential payout
- $4.19K
- Potential profit
- $4.05K
- Multiplier
- 29.85x
- User PnL
- -$106.84
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 11AM ET
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.1K
- Potential profit
- $3.1K
- User PnL
- -$2.07K
No position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.8K
- Potential profit
- $2.8K
- User PnL
- -$1.18K
Eala position
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Alexandra Eala vs Victoria Mboko
Ends Nov 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.53K
- Potential profit
- $2.53K
- User PnL
- -$1.3K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 7PM ET
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.73K
- Potential profit
- $1.73K
- User PnL
- -$584.02
Yes position
Will Trump say "Venezuela" while addressing the nation on December 17?
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- User PnL
- -$1.52K
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.63K
- Potential profit
- $1.63K
- User PnL
- -$1.48K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 1PM ET
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.56K
- Potential profit
- $1.56K
- User PnL
- -$741.79
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.39K
- Potential profit
- $1.39K
- User PnL
- -$298.5
Yes position
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.38K
- Potential profit
- $1.38K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.32K
- Potential profit
- $1.32K
- User PnL
- -$460.99
Yes position
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $6.71
- Potential payout
- $1.22K
- Potential profit
- $1.21K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$525.09
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- User PnL
- -$134.75
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$51
Top Esports position
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner
Ends Oct 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$630
Ravens position
Ravens vs. Steelers
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$689.85
Zakharova position
Jiangxi Open: Dominika Salkova vs Anastasia Zakharova
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$730
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 9AM ET
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $974.87
- Potential profit
- $974.87
- User PnL
- -$278.63
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.58K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 12PM ET
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.38K
Top Esports position
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)
Ends Oct 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.99K
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.52K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 11AM ET
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.38K
T1 position
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner
Ends Nov 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.73K
Yes position
Will André Ventura qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26K
Top Esports position
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner
Ends Oct 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21K
KT Rolster position
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.16K
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1K
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $910.85
KT Rolster position
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 3 Winner
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $817.85
T1 position
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $812.59
T1 position
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)
Ends Nov 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $700
T1 position
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner
Ends Nov 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $579.77
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $529.14
T1 position
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 1 Winner
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $454.55
KT Rolster position
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5)
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $428.77
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 12PM ET
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $356.66
Top Esports position
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winner
Ends Oct 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $348.58
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $319.53
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $288.39
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 1PM ET
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $269.97
Golubic position
Jiangxi Open: Elena Pridankina vs Viktorija Golubic
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $256.17
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?No 98.8% 202.43 shares
- Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by February 15?No 98.2% 203.67 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?No 99.1% 718.22 shares
- Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?No 97.5% 500 shares
- Will Joe Biden be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?No 92% 42.5 shares
- Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?No 97.5% 102.56 shares
- Will Michael Jackson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No 95% 21.05 shares
- Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?No 65.9% 75.88 shares
- Will Elon Musk be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No 90.4% 55.33 shares
- Will Michael Jackson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No 93% 53.76 shares
- Will Elon Musk be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No 90.3% 55.38 shares
- Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No 84% 200 shares