Yes position
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.01K
- Potential profit
- $20.01K
- User PnL
- -$335.86
Polymarket Trader
0x1D9f719Da81cC9dDCC68109522aAc482260AC9c6-1720151407543
0x1d9f719da81cc9ddcc68109522aac482260ac9c6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $29.93
- Realized PnL
- $1.17K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the next Government of Canada be led by another party or coalition?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.62K
- Potential profit
- $12.62K
- User PnL
- -$41.62
No position
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.03K
- Potential profit
- $8.03K
- User PnL
- -$100.24
Yes position
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.54K
- Potential profit
- $7.54K
- User PnL
- -$47.17
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.33K
- Potential profit
- $7.33K
- User PnL
- -$91.87
Yes position
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the February 2026 meeting?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $6K
- User PnL
- -$47.43
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.25K
- Potential profit
- $5.25K
- User PnL
- -$109.36
Yes position
Will Lee Jae-myung win Gyeongbuk State (경상북도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $4K
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after February 2026 meeting?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.45K
- Potential profit
- $3.45K
- User PnL
- -$22.39
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.18K
- Potential profit
- $3.18K
- User PnL
- -$84.09
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on January 3?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.92K
- Potential profit
- $2.92K
- User PnL
- -$26.07
Yes position
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $6.71
- Potential payout
- $2.68K
- Potential profit
- $2.68K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$29.61
Yes position
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $6.46
- Potential payout
- $2.58K
- Potential profit
- $2.58K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$31.73
Yes position
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $6.45
- Potential payout
- $2.58K
- Potential profit
- $2.58K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$22.18
Yes position
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $6.37
- Potential payout
- $2.55K
- Potential profit
- $2.54K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$19.73
Yes position
Will the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the October meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.34K
- Potential profit
- $2.34K
- User PnL
- -$86.52
Yes position
Will the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the March meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.18K
- Potential profit
- $2.18K
- User PnL
- -$12.44
Yes position
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the February Meeting?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.07K
- Potential profit
- $2.07K
- User PnL
- -$23.79
Yes position
Will the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the January meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.86K
- Potential profit
- $1.86K
- User PnL
- -$15.66
Yes position
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December meeting?
Ends Dec 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- User PnL
- -$8.4
Yes position
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the February 2026 meeting?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.61K
- Potential profit
- $1.61K
- User PnL
- -$51.03
Yes position
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $3.93
- Potential payout
- $1.57K
- Potential profit
- $1.57K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$23.8
Yes position
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.39K
- Potential profit
- $1.39K
- User PnL
- -$13.39
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $406.87
Yes position
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $164.94
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.29
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.1
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.73
Yes position
Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.4% by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.66
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.54
Yes position
US bank failure by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.98
Yes position
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- $31.64
Yes position
Ethereum above $2,700 on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.99
Yes position
Will Kamala say "Venn diagram" in August?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.41
Yes position
Will Dan Bongino leave the Trump administration in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.67
Yes position
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.38
No position
Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.13
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.52
Yes position
Will Travis Hunter win the Heisman Trophy?
Ends Dec 14, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.13
Yes position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $185–190 in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.89
Yes position
Will Masai Russell (USA) win gold in the Women’s 100m Hurdles?
Ends Aug 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.29
Yes position
Will NVIDIA dip to $164 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.15
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.66
Yes position
Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by 0-3%?
Ends Oct 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.47
Yes position
Will Baidu have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $9.32
Yes position
Will Wisconsin be the closest state?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.69
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?Yes 8.5% 140.82 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?Yes 0.6% 181.49 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-06-25?Yes 51% 3.92 shares
- Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?Yes 53% 3.77 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?Yes 54% 3.7 shares
- Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?Yes 7.2% 16.67 shares
- Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?Yes 31% 3.23 shares
- Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?Yes 15% 17.33 shares
- Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 3% 33.33 shares
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 0.4% 250 shares
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 0.3% 333.33 shares
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 0.3% 333.33 shares