Polymarket Trader

0x1dab...45af

0x1dab6128f98f311cf57a9058f75f070f4e7f45af

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $49.31
Realized PnL: $143.79
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q2 investment banking fees be above $3.15B?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $7.05
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $2.95
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $1.95

No position

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $4.23
Potential payout: $9.96
Potential profit: $5.73
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$0.35

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $4.39
Potential payout: $9.25
Potential profit: $4.86
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $4.01
Potential payout: $9
Potential profit: $5
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: -$0.14

No position

Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 52%
Current value: $4.42
Potential payout: $8.5
Potential profit: $4.08
Multiplier: 1.92x
User PnL: $0.51

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 58%
Current value: $4.73
Potential payout: $8.15
Potential profit: $3.42
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: -$0.24

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 43%
Current value: $3.44
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $4.56
Multiplier: 2.33x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $3.92
Potential payout: $7.92
Potential profit: $4
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: -$1.15

No position

Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $3.13
Potential payout: $7.92
Potential profit: $4.79
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $2.7
Potential payout: $7
Potential profit: $4.31
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $0.31

No position

Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $5.29
Potential payout: $6.41
Potential profit: $1.12
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $0.29

No position

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $1.17
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $4.83
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $0.84
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $5.16
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: -$0.18

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Over position

Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 4.5

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.85

Under position

Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.74

Over position

Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 4.5

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.43

Under position

Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.84

Over position

Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.2

Sweden position

Spread: Sweden (-1.5)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.16

Over position

Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.69

Ghana position

Spread: England (-1.5)

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.16

Yes position

Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.84

Over position

United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.63

Yes position

IR Iran vs. New Zealand: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.56

No position

Will Quantinuum's market cap be at least $25B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.14

Under position

Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.79

Down position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.72

Under position

Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.35

Under position

Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7

Under position

Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.13

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.85

Yes position

Will Warsh say "Balance Sheet" during June Press Conference?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.51

Under position

United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38

Under position

Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.27

Under position

Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.88

No position

Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.84

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?

No 48% 9.25 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?

Yes 64% 7.92 shares
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5

Under 32% 3.13 shares
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 7?

Down 57% 8.65 shares
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?

No 69% 2.84 shares
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5

Under 23% 4.35 shares
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5

Under 47% 2.13 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?

No 50% 3.82 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?

Yes 54% 3.67 shares
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5

Under 30% 3.33 shares
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5

Under 27% 3.7 shares
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 4.5

Over 18% 5.56 shares