No position
Will Artemis II launch by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $1.15K
- User PnL
- -$264.73
Polymarket Trader
DanThomas6686
@Rigs26126877095
0x1db201d9abf7a5e84308471fbe45d8329c4cebc2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $707.03
- Realized PnL
- $1.95K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will FC Juárez win on 2026-02-22?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $1.02K
- User PnL
- -$399.36
Yes position
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $625.03
- Potential payout
- $767
- Potential profit
- $141.97
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$5.45
Yes position
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $187
- Potential profit
- $187
- User PnL
- -$24.31
No position
Will Israel strike 1 country in December 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $89
- Potential profit
- $89
- User PnL
- -$54.19
Up position
XRP Up or Down - February 15, 4AM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $75
- Potential profit
- $75
- User PnL
- -$37.5
Yes position
Will Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $70
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $12.88
Yes position
Will 90 to 119 tornadoes occur in the United States in December?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $68
- Potential profit
- $68
- User PnL
- -$1.16
Yes position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $56
- Potential profit
- $56
- User PnL
- -$1.01
Yes position
Will Trump say "Border" at the FIFA World Cup Draw on December 5?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $42
- Potential profit
- $42
- User PnL
- -$14.28
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in January 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$2.85
Yes position
Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $11
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $8.25
No position
Will Israel strike 2 countries in November 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.14
- Potential profit
- $1.14
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $1
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.06
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 8?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $378.2
Yes position
Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 22%
- Multiplier
- 4.55x
- User PnL
- $185.28
No position
Will Trump say "Hell" during meeting with Netanyahu?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160.05
Yes position
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133.62
Down position
XRP Up or Down - February 12, 11PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109
No position
Will "Mahomes" be said at the Super Bowl?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.43
No position
Will the New England Patriots be eliminated in the Conference Championship Round?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.78
No position
Sentio FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $76.5
Yes position
Will the Phoenix Suns win more than 30.5 regular season games in 2025–26?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.44
Yes position
Will there be at least 1,100 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.01
Up position
Solana Up or Down - February 9, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.13
Yes position
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $57.26
No position
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 20% in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $56.55
Yes position
Will The Pitt win Best Television Series – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.71
No position
Will Once Upon a Farm's market cap be between $800M and $850M at market close on IPO day?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $43.03
Under position
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5
Ends Dec 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.08
Over position
Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Evansville Aces: O/U 142.5
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.42
Yes position
Will JA21 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $37.04
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 10, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.92
No position
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.19
Yes position
Deel IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- $33.24
Yes position
Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 32%
- Multiplier
- 3.13x
- User PnL
- $29.43
Yes position
Will Trump say "NATO" during meeting with Netanyahu?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $24.8
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $24.36
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?No 60% 212 shares
- Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?No 60% 619 shares
- Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?No 59% 179 shares
- Will Artemis II launch by April 30?No 23% 1,151 shares
- Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?No 58% 1,010 shares
- Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by June 30?No 87% 557 shares
- Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by June 30?No 87% 557 shares
- Will Natus Vincere make it to the Blast Open Rotterdam Grand Final?No 35% 552 shares
- Will Natus Vincere make it to the Blast Open Rotterdam Grand Final?No 73% 552 shares
- Will "Jamie" be said 3+ times on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29)No 11% 333 shares
- Sentio FDV above $50M one day after launch?No 45% 396 shares
- Sentio FDV above $50M one day after launch?No 45% 1,006 shares