No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.7K
- Potential profit
- $25.7K
- User PnL
- -$4.23K
Polymarket Trader
newnewuser
0x1dd197fa8bb4d6887ffecf89b75171aea7d7a156
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $16.57K
- Realized PnL
- $178.52K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.3K
- Potential profit
- $18.3K
- User PnL
- -$155.84
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $544.36
- Potential payout
- $5.73K
- Potential profit
- $5.19K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$361.14
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $5.25K
- Potential payout
- $5.26K
- Potential profit
- $13.15
- User PnL
- $390.94
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.14K
- Potential profit
- $5.14K
- User PnL
- -$3.27K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $4K
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.91K
- Potential profit
- $3.91K
- User PnL
- -$105.52
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $3.58K
- Potential payout
- $3.79K
- Potential profit
- $208.27
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $1.03K
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $465.28
- Potential payout
- $3.72K
- Potential profit
- $3.26K
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.11K
Yes position
Netanyahu out by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.57K
- Potential profit
- $3.57K
- User PnL
- -$305.02
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.48K
- Potential profit
- $3.48K
- User PnL
- -$83.8
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 18, 2026?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.75K
- Potential profit
- $2.75K
- User PnL
- -$1.59K
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $946.51
- Potential payout
- $2.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.72K
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- -$146.06
No position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $1.19K
- Potential payout
- $2.62K
- Potential profit
- $1.43K
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- $263.23
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Current value
- $2.5K
- Potential payout
- $2.61K
- Potential profit
- $109.52
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $104.31
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.35K
- Potential profit
- $2.35K
- User PnL
- -$1.48K
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $254.26
- Potential payout
- $2.21K
- Potential profit
- $1.96K
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$316.26
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.76K
- Potential profit
- $1.76K
- User PnL
- -$127.51
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.74K
- Potential profit
- $1.74K
- User PnL
- -$931.5
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $285.07
- Potential payout
- $1.73K
- Potential profit
- $1.44K
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- $48.7
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $31.36
- Potential payout
- $1.7K
- Potential profit
- $1.66K
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- -$37.94
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $1.4K
- User PnL
- -$99.37
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $925.98
- Potential payout
- $1.28K
- Potential profit
- $351.23
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- -$19.57
Yes position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $606.04
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $594.04
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$52.73
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.98K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.17K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.91K
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.39K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.04K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.86K
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.28K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.91K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.48K
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.86K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.55K
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $6.03K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.91K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.91K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.79K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.68K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.41K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.4K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.11K
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.02K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.98K
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.54K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.29K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 91.8% 2,607.6 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 8.2% 937.74 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 99.9% 3,314.99 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?Yes 99.9% 411.46 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?Yes 99.9% 5,798.97 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 99.9% 17,188.54 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No 0.2% 37.85 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by July 31?Yes 91% 2,196.34 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by July 15?Yes 91% 400 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by July 15?Yes 91% 300 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 8?No 15.6% 2,003.95 shares
- Trump out as President by May 31?No 99.9% 100 shares