Polymarket Trader

smaug21

0x1de461a9afae3db3745b400a1a005b487539faba

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.88K
Realized PnL: -$8.35K
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 2
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $1.12K
Potential payout: $2.9K
Potential profit: $1.78K
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: -$14.5

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 55.9%
Current value: $1.12K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $882.6
Multiplier: 1.79x
User PnL: -$2.6

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $174.56
Potential payout: $1.75K
Potential profit: $1.58K
Multiplier: 10.05x
User PnL: -$25.44

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $1.4K
User PnL: -$40.61

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $1.05K
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $253.5
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $6.5

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 8.3%
Current value: $60.66
Potential payout: $735.29
Potential profit: $674.63
Multiplier: 12.12x
User PnL: -$14.34

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 35.2%
Current value: $224.26
Potential payout: $638.02
Potential profit: $413.76
Multiplier: 2.84x
User PnL: $24.26

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.1%
Current value: $93.04
Potential payout: $515.46
Potential profit: $422.42
Multiplier: 5.54x
User PnL: -$6.96

Yes position

Jeremy Doku: 1+ goals

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $277.78
Potential profit: $277.78
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Leandro Trossard: 1+ goals

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $227.27
Potential profit: $227.27
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ goals

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $227.27
Potential profit: $227.27
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Algeria win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 22.6%
Current value: $45.24
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $154.76
Multiplier: 4.42x
User PnL: -$1.26

Yes position

Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ assists

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $185.19
Potential profit: $185.19
User PnL: -$50

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.52

Senegal position

Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$8.36K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 39% 1,400 shares
Will Algeria win on 2026-07-02?

Yes 23.3% 200 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?

Yes 56% 1,999.99 shares
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 39% 1,500 shares
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?

Yes 2.9% 1,400 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 80% 1,300 shares
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?

Yes 2% 1,909 shares
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?

Yes 10% 1,000 shares
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?

Yes 11% 909.09 shares
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance

Senegal 11% 14,874.28 shares
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance

Senegal 67.2% 14,874.28 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 36.1% 277.01 shares