Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 47 and 48 million views on day 4?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.28K
- Potential profit
- $6.28K
- User PnL
- -$6.28
Polymarket Trader
ConfusedUngaBunga
0x1e109e389fb9cc1fc37360ab796b42c12d4bbeee
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $99.61
- Realized PnL
- $6.78K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.58
- Potential payout
- $3.16K
- Potential profit
- $3.16K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.58
Y
Yes position
Will New Zealand be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $1.74
- Potential payout
- $1.16K
- Potential profit
- $1.16K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$9.84
Y
Yes position
Will New Zealand win the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.99
- Potential payout
- $658
- Potential profit
- $657.01
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$5.59
Y
Yes position
Will Uzbekistan win the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $4.93
- Potential payout
- $658
- Potential profit
- $653.07
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.65
Y
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $5.26
- Potential payout
- $658
- Potential profit
- $652.74
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.32
Yes position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.8–0.9%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.33
- Potential payout
- $650
- Potential profit
- $649.68
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$6.18
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets in June 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.32
- Potential payout
- $646
- Potential profit
- $645.68
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$6.14
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets in June 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.32
- Potential payout
- $646
- Potential profit
- $645.68
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$6.14
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets in June 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.32
- Potential payout
- $646
- Potential profit
- $645.68
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$6.14
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets in June 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.32
- Potential payout
- $646
- Potential profit
- $645.68
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$6.14
Y
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <400 tweets in June 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.32
- Potential payout
- $646
- Potential profit
- $645.68
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$6.14
Y
Yes position
Will there be 45+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $5.08
- Potential payout
- $634.99
- Potential profit
- $629.91
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.27
Yes position
Jovo Lukić: 3+ goals
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $50.16
- Potential payout
- $631
- Potential profit
- $580.84
- Multiplier
- 12.58x
- User PnL
- $43.85
Yes position
Brian Gutiérrez: 3+ goals
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $3.77
- Potential payout
- $628
- Potential profit
- $624.23
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$2.51
Yes position
Noah Okafor: 3+ goals
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $3.77
- Potential payout
- $628
- Potential profit
- $624.23
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$2.51
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 47 million views on day 4?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $627.99
- Potential profit
- $627.99
- User PnL
- -$6.28
Y
Yes position
Will there be 50+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $4.01
- Potential payout
- $534.99
- Potential profit
- $530.98
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.34
Yes position
Will Alex Ferguson be the next manager of Manchester City FC?
Ends Sep 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.26
- Potential payout
- $524.97
- Potential profit
- $524.71
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.69
Y
Yes position
Will Qatar win the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $1.68
- Potential payout
- $479.81
- Potential profit
- $478.13
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$3.12
Sweden position
Spread: Sweden (-3.5)
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $2.8
- Potential payout
- $466
- Potential profit
- $463.2
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.86
Curaçao position
Spread: Curaçao (-5.5)
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $6.99
- Potential payout
- $466
- Potential profit
- $459.01
- Multiplier
- 66.67x
- User PnL
- $2.33
Iraq position
Spread: Iraq (-5.5)
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $2.33
- Potential payout
- $465
- Potential profit
- $462.68
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.33
Curaçao position
Spread: Curaçao (-3.5)
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $2.33
- Potential payout
- $465
- Potential profit
- $462.68
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.33
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Under 2.5 position
Blockx vs. Engel: Total Sets O/U 2.5
Ends Dec 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.21K
No position
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on December 27?
Ends Dec 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $680.2
Yes position
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-09?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $605.54
Yes position
Will "The Murder of Rachel Nickell" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $510.72
Karmine Corp Blue position
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Los Heretics - Game 1 Winner
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $425.44
Brace position
Merida Open Akron, Qualification: Sachia Vickery vs Cadence Brace
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $416.32
Over position
Avalanche vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5
Ends Oct 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $282.78
No position
Will Las Vegas Sands (LVS) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $267.88
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 20?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $262.35
No position
Will Delfino Pescara 1936 win on 2025-12-20?
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $241.11
Over position
Louisiana vs. Troy: O/U 47.5
Ends Oct 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $236.32
Spizzirri position
Hellenic Championship, Qualification: Vit Kopriva vs Eliot Spizzirri
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $212
Mandlik position
ATX Open, Qualification: Jennifer Brady vs Elizabeth Mandlik
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $172.67
Shapovalov position
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Casper Ruud
Ends Oct 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $167.25
Yes position
Kinetiq FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $159
Wizards position
Spread: Wizards (-7.5)
Ends Oct 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $144.97
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 32-33°F on December 26?
Ends Dec 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $139.7
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 30-31°F on December 26?
Ends Dec 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $105.82
Under position
Derby County FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 3.5
Ends Dec 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $98.44
Panthers position
Spread: Panthers (-1.5)
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $97
Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming position
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $92.72
Up position
Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on November 19?
Ends Nov 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $88.97
Up position
Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on November 19?
Ends Nov 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $87.5
Wizards position
Spread: Heat (-15.5)
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $73.21
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 20?Yes 5% 15.15 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on June 20?Yes 1% 5 shares
- Will Ghana win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.9% 9.26 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on June 18?Yes 2% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on June 18?Yes 3% 44.96 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in June 2026?Yes 14% 7.85 shares
- SlingshotDAO FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes 1.5% 23.53 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 13?Yes 1% 101.01 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on June 13?Yes 1% 60 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 18°C on June 13?Yes 1% 65.99 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 13?Yes 1% 318 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 13?Yes 1% 20.2 shares