Polymarket Trader

0x1E13c83d9BbDF8247c0f9e0d3D1A5cee7bD92AC4-1766043683669

0x1e13c83d9bbdf8247c0f9e0d3d1a5cee7bd92ac4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $591.22
Realized PnL: $8.84K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $84.49
Potential payout: $804.71
Potential profit: $720.22
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$157.45

Yes position

Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $29.18
Potential payout: $530.6
Potential profit: $501.42
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$3.65

Yes position

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $446.33
Potential profit: $446.33
User PnL: -$31.37

No position

US recession by end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $226.15
Potential payout: $247.16
Potential profit: $21.01
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $39.3

Yes position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $9.55
Potential payout: $220.08
Potential profit: $210.53
Multiplier: 23.04x
User PnL: -$28.96

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.1%
Current value: $21.22
Potential payout: $150.04
Potential profit: $128.82
Multiplier: 7.07x
User PnL: $1.26

No position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 67%
Current value: $100.45
Potential payout: $150.04
Potential profit: $49.59
Multiplier: 1.49x
User PnL: -$33.22

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.9%
Current value: $19.28
Potential payout: $150.04
Potential profit: $130.76
Multiplier: 7.78x
User PnL: -$3.38

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110.04
Potential profit: $110.04
User PnL: -$40.71

No position

Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $100.89
Potential payout: $101.04
Potential profit: $0.15
User PnL: $4.09

No position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.07
Potential profit: $8.07
User PnL: -$3.07

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.78K

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $963.79

Bears position

Packers vs. Bears

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $789.98

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $600.73

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $493

No position

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $373.66

Yes position

Will Google (GOOGL) close above $320 end of January?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $330.39

Pelicans position

76ers vs. Pelicans

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $313.57

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on February 12?

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $284.94

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 15?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $265.56

Yes position

Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $258.87

Kings position

Kings vs. Grizzlies

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $244.3

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $213.05

Yes position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $208.36

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $206.83

Yes position

Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $197.37

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on March 15?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $188.88

76ers position

76ers vs. Pelicans

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $174.22

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $173.2

Bucks position

Bucks vs. Thunder

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $168.03

Disguised position

LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised - Game 3 Winner

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $166.09

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $159.91

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $154.83

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 11?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.28

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 3AM ET

Down 97% 194.84 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2AM ET

Down 18% 207.75 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2AM ET

Down 21.8% 206.99 shares
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Yes 18.2% 97.78 shares
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Yes 19% 210.04 shares
Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Yes 20% 100 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9AM ET

Down 93.5% 185.57 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 17?

Up 63% 14.49 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 17?

Up 74% 7.79 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9AM ET

Down 45% 20.73 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?

No 72.2% 210.04 shares
Will Florida win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Yes 10.3% 81.11 shares