No position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $171.28
- Potential profit
- $171.28
- User PnL
- -$45.59
Polymarket Trader
nk13
0x1e1bbf689b72312c46a7b973e1130f03a6110c00
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $419.7
- Realized PnL
- $274.75
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $160.02
- Potential profit
- $160.02
- User PnL
- -$103.11
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $150.09
- Potential payout
- $150.77
- Potential profit
- $0.68
- User PnL
- $30.81
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 66%
- Current value
- $93.71
- Potential payout
- $141.98
- Potential profit
- $48.27
- Multiplier
- 1.52x
- User PnL
- $6.4
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Current value
- $71.58
- Potential payout
- $74.87
- Potential profit
- $3.29
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.37
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58.94
- Potential profit
- $58.94
- User PnL
- -$37.24
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $45.45
- User PnL
- -$28.83
No position
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 40%
- Current value
- $15.75
- Potential payout
- $39.39
- Potential profit
- $23.63
- Multiplier
- 2.50x
- User PnL
- -$5.67
Y
Yes position
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.07
- Potential payout
- $28.65
- Potential profit
- $28.58
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$23.14
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $20.26
- Potential payout
- $21.48
- Potential profit
- $1.22
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.6
- Potential profit
- $20.6
- User PnL
- -$7.62
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $12.98
- Potential payout
- $16.13
- Potential profit
- $3.15
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $2.98
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.24
- Potential profit
- $14.24
- User PnL
- -$5.98
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $11.89
- Potential payout
- $13.14
- Potential profit
- $1.25
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.89
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $9.83
- Potential payout
- $9.83
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.95
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.68
- Potential profit
- $8.68
- User PnL
- -$5.34
No position
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $6.65
- Potential payout
- $7.27
- Potential profit
- $0.62
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $6.29
- Potential payout
- $7.19
- Potential profit
- $0.9
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $5.77
- Potential payout
- $5.79
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.85
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $3.56
- Potential payout
- $4.07
- Potential profit
- $0.51
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $1.16
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $0.7
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $3.3
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $3.94
- Potential payout
- $3.95
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.94
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $3.35
- Potential payout
- $3.66
- Potential profit
- $0.31
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $3.28
- Potential payout
- $3.41
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.28
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.39
Yes position
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.39
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.49
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.48
Yes position
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.95
No position
Another US bank failure by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.47
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.24
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.85
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $11.2
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.48
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.89
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.06
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.8
Yes position
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 3?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.26
Yes position
Will Meta (META) close above $600 end of January?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.78
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.73
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.44
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.32
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 11?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.16
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.93
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.58
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.12
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.78
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No 96.1% 74.87 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No 99.9% 72.03 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 62% 101.06 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?No 97% 64.6 shares
- Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Yes 81% 28.65 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No 96.7% 24 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No 81% 5.74 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 81% 6.17 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 98.2% 9.82 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?No 65% 47.62 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No 96.7% 32.01 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 77% 6.71 shares