Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $23.92
- Potential payout
- $6.83K
- Potential profit
- $6.81K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$23.07
Polymarket Trader
0x1e1D8AbC80DA6932aF585d517FC10445c6Ee1c4b-1767891120281
0x1e1d8abc80da6932af585d517fc10445c6ee1c4b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $249.49
- Realized PnL
- $1.39K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $7.25
- Potential payout
- $2.42K
- Potential profit
- $2.41K
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$25.32
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $21.57
- Potential payout
- $1.49K
- Potential profit
- $1.47K
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$9.02
Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $49.5
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$5.5
Yes position
Will Oman sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $29.24
- Potential payout
- $928.11
- Potential profit
- $898.88
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- -$11.76
Yes position
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $11.81
- Potential payout
- $787.14
- Potential profit
- $775.34
- Multiplier
- 66.67x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $3.17
- Potential payout
- $352.22
- Potential profit
- $349.05
- Multiplier
- 111.11x
- User PnL
- -$1.63
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $13.13
- Potential payout
- $340.92
- Potential profit
- $327.79
- Multiplier
- 25.97x
- User PnL
- -$1.87
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $2.79
- Potential payout
- $294.12
- Potential profit
- $291.32
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$2.21
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $2.01
- Potential payout
- $267.49
- Potential profit
- $265.49
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$2.99
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $3.83
- Potential payout
- $218.75
- Potential profit
- $214.92
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- -$3.17
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.7%
- Current value
- $26.51
- Potential payout
- $209.53
- Potential profit
- $183.02
- Multiplier
- 7.91x
- User PnL
- $12.51
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $2.54
- Potential payout
- $187.9
- Potential profit
- $185.37
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$5.01
Yes position
Will Israel sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $4.09
- Potential payout
- $167.08
- Potential profit
- $162.99
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- $1.09
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $3.13
- Potential payout
- $160.57
- Potential profit
- $157.44
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- -$4.87
Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?
Ends Aug 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $14.42
- Potential payout
- $115.38
- Potential profit
- $100.96
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.58
Yes position
Will any U.S. Senator enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.56
- Potential payout
- $111.39
- Potential profit
- $110.83
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.44
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $1.42
- Potential payout
- $91.86
- Potential profit
- $90.44
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$1.08
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $3.9
- Potential payout
- $87.72
- Potential profit
- $83.82
- Multiplier
- 22.47x
- User PnL
- -$1.1
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $2.29
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $81.04
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- -$2.71
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Mohammed bin Salman by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $1.3
- Potential payout
- $76.29
- Potential profit
- $74.99
- Multiplier
- 58.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.6%
- Current value
- $14.63
- Potential payout
- $74.62
- Potential profit
- $60
- Multiplier
- 5.10x
- User PnL
- $7.73
Yes position
Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $3.93
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $67.5
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$1.07
Y
Yes position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.6%
- Current value
- $2.57
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $68.86
- Multiplier
- 27.78x
- User PnL
- -$2.43
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $247.71
Yes position
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $199.61
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $145.43
Yes position
Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.03
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.26
Nothing position
Nothing Ever Happens: May
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.14
Yes position
Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.39
Yes position
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.79
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.32
Seahawks position
Seahawks vs. Patriots
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.29
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.82
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.26
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.11
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.92
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $26.17
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.72
No position
Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.71
No position
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.39
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.11
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 on April 1?
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.87
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.35
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.79
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.45T by June 30?Yes 5.8% 42.41 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes 2.3% 65.22 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?Yes 10.2% 41.02 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:30PM-1:35PM ETUp 11% 9.09 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:30PM-1:35PM ETUp 29% 3.96 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:30PM-1:35PM ETUp 26% 3.96 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in June?Yes 2.1% 52.63 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ETDown 32% 4.31 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes 2.7% 425.93 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?Yes 3.8% 340.9 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes 2.3% 236.6 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?Yes 11.9% 17.54 shares