Polymarket Trader

Paukan

0x1e21dda86b9da29dd61d226f29dd970abf3c9e58

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.58K
Realized PnL: $4.93K
Win rate: 70.8%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.88K
Potential profit: $3.88K
User PnL: -$2.4K

Yes position

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $272.73
Potential payout: $2.27K
Potential profit: $2K
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: -$227.27

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 30%
Current value: $612.05
Potential payout: $2.04K
Potential profit: $1.43K
Multiplier: 3.33x
User PnL: $12.06

No position

Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $696.39
Potential payout: $697.08
Potential profit: $0.7
User PnL: $196.39

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.28K

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.27K

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.24K

No position

Will Russia capture Yunakivka before August?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $583.45

Yes position

Will Russia capture territory in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast by June 30?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $215.39

No position

Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.53

No position

Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.69

No position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.25

No position

Will Russia capture Yunakivka before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.64

No position

Will Trump audit Ukraine aid before May?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.17

Yes position

Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $41.34

No position

Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.11

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.01

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.89

Yes position

Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before May?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.53

No position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.92

Yes position

Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.99

Yes position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.62

Yes position

Will Putin meet with Trump by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$13.42

No position

Will Putin meet with Trump before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$29.86

Yes position

Will Russia capture Yunakivka before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$36

Yes position

Will Trump audit Ukraine aid before May?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$40.9

Yes position

Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$55.57

No position

Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$71.64

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?

Yes 32.7% 612.23 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

No 1% 500 shares
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?

Yes 28% 1,427.95 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

No 71% 3,380.28 shares
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?

No 1.2% 370.59 shares
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?

No 54% 370.59 shares
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?

Yes 22% 2,272.73 shares
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?

No 28% 1,784.84 shares
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?

No 71.7% 697.08 shares
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?

No 44% 2,273.14 shares
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?

No 57.3% 1,392.45 shares
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?

No 50.7% 1,307.67 shares