No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $301.67
- Potential payout
- $507.01
- Potential profit
- $205.34
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- -$8.33
Polymarket Trader
Yugo89
0x1e25a3aba7dc6ae591fda1d3b09ab9effdb40f29
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $301.67
- Realized PnL
- $696.72
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $168.66
Yes position
Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $116.41
Yes position
South Korean President impeached in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.66
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $57.93
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.66
Yes position
Will Russia pull out of Syria before April 2025?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $41.5
Yes position
Will Syria hold national elections before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $35.41
No position
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.57
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.44
Yes position
Will Siniša Karan win the 2025 Republika Srpska presidential election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.63
Yes position
US military action against Iran before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.5
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.79
Yes position
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9
Makhachev position
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.92
Yes position
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.8
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.67
Yes position
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.23
No position
German Bundestag dissolved in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.18
No position
Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.18
Yes position
Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on Vietnam before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.52
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.21
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.13
No position
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.71
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 66% 318.18 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 0.3% 6,666.67 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No 96.6% 240.86 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No 93% 240.86 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 53% 188.83 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 64.1% 505.23 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 43% 130.23 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 56% 200 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 56% 175 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No 87% 98.39 shares
- JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?No 2.1% 238.1 shares
- Will Iran strike UAE again in March?Yes 91.6% 63 shares