Yes position
Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $12.25
- Potential payout
- $1.36K
- Potential profit
- $1.35K
- Multiplier
- 111.11x
- User PnL
- -$229.51
Polymarket Trader
gatorrqw
0x1e26576d9d13d33dce3739150571d3b5f74e2020
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.21K
- Realized PnL
- $24.7K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.8%
- Current value
- $232.33
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $786.67
- Multiplier
- 4.39x
- User PnL
- $232.33
Yes position
Will Juntos por el Perú (JP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $600
- User PnL
- -$165
N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $580.51
- Potential profit
- $580.51
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $137.96
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $262.04
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- $30.46
No position
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $358.56
- Potential payout
- $380.43
- Potential profit
- $21.87
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $358.56
Yes position
Will Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $2.55
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $297.45
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$63.45
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $201.63
- Potential payout
- $286
- Potential profit
- $84.37
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $110.11
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $49
- Potential payout
- $264.87
- Potential profit
- $215.87
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$22.18
No position
US strike on Colombia by December 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76%
- Current value
- $197.14
- Potential payout
- $259.39
- Potential profit
- $62.25
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $197.14
No position
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $221.25
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $28.75
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $128.75
No position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $2.63
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $247.38
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$87.38
Yes position
Will voter turnout be 54-57% in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Current value
- $8.5
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $241.5
- Multiplier
- 29.41x
- User PnL
- $8.5
Yes position
Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $21.9
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $178.1
- Multiplier
- 9.13x
- User PnL
- -$50.1
Yes position
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $79
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $121
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $12
Yes position
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $154.9
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $45.1
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $82.9
No position
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $175
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $25
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $103
Yes position
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $1.28
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $148.73
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$52.73
No position
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $129.89
- Potential payout
- $133.15
- Potential profit
- $3.26
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $81.95
Yes position
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.4%
- Current value
- $45.4
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $54.6
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- $5.4
No position
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $73.15
- Potential payout
- $87.08
- Potential profit
- $13.93
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $38.32
No position
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.6%
- Current value
- $50
- Potential payout
- $54
- Potential profit
- $4
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $30.56
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $52.22
- Potential payout
- $53.53
- Potential profit
- $1.31
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $52.22
No position
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.18
- Potential payout
- $21.24
- Potential profit
- $21.06
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$2.24
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.22K
Yes position
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.14K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48K
No position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.47K
Yes position
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.46K
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19K
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $972
No position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $897
No position
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $889.71
No position
Will Pierre-Yves Bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $721.69
No position
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win <25 seats in the Slovenian National Assembly in this election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $712
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $678.96
Yes position
Will Catherine Trautmann be the next mayor of Strasbourg?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $632.25
No position
Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 10–15%?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $627.53
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $581.26
No position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $580.99
No position
Trump announces new drug boat strike by March 7, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $580
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by March 20?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $508.5
Yes position
Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $508.5
No position
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $493.5
Yes position
Will gas hit (High) $4.00 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $459
No position
Iran leadership change by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $447
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 8, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $445.14
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?No 68% 47.24 shares
- Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No 20% 250 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 95% 150 shares
- Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?No 94.5% 14.29 shares
- US strike on Colombia by December 31?No 78% 276.61 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No 95.2% 536 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No 95.5% 583 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Yes 27% 333 shares
- Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No 73% 226.68 shares
- Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by 9% or more?Yes 98.5% 250 shares
- Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?No 95.4% 765.98 shares
- Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?No 95.5% 51 shares