Polymarket Trader

Gl4d

0x1e3a86ef98030e7e0519e127d8178e9b45389e14

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $14.44K
Realized PnL: $28.74K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $325
Potential payout: $649.99K
Potential profit: $649.67K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$824.84

Yes position

Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $761.56
Potential payout: $169.24K
Potential profit: $168.47K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$84.62

Yes position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $228.32
Potential payout: $50.74K
Potential profit: $50.51K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$175.35

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $660
Potential payout: $40K
Potential profit: $39.34K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will Luis Diaz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $113.2
Potential payout: $13.32K
Potential profit: $13.2K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$32.11

No position

World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 95.2%
Current value: $3.27K
Potential payout: $3.44K
Potential profit: $166.86
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $57

Pablo Carreno Busta position

Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.2K
Potential profit: $3.2K
User PnL: -$639.99

Francisco Cerundolo position

Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary Svajda

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.2K
Potential profit: $3.2K
User PnL: -$2.85K

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.7%
Current value: $379.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.62K
Multiplier: 7.91x
User PnL: $61.5

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $167.31
Potential payout: $2.86K
Potential profit: $2.69K
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: $16.4

Yes position

Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $37.8
Potential payout: $2.7K
Potential profit: $2.66K
Multiplier: 71.43x
User PnL: -$165.19

Yes position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 83%
Current value: $2.01K
Potential payout: $2.43K
Potential profit: $412.27
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$10.83

No position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $2.04K
Potential payout: $2.06K
Potential profit: $15.44
User PnL: $189.77

Yes position

Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $24
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.98K
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: -$17.89

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 25.4%
Current value: $406.4
Potential payout: $1.6K
Potential profit: $1.19K
Multiplier: 3.94x
User PnL: -$145.11

Yes position

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 32.1%
Current value: $489.87
Potential payout: $1.53K
Potential profit: $1.04K
Multiplier: 3.12x
User PnL: $138.24

Yes position

Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $323.46
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.18K
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $135.94

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $176.25
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.32K
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $44.25

Yes position

Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $217.5
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.28K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$353.49

Yes position

Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $232.34
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.27K
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$63.53

Yes position

Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.2%
Current value: $128.1
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $1.27K
Multiplier: 10.93x
User PnL: $5.1

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $1.2K
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $3
User PnL: $94.42

No position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $1.19K
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $10.2
User PnL: $253.8

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $54
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.15K
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$613.98

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Jakub Mensik position

Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.81K

Yes position

Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?

Ends Jul 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.69K

Jakub Mensik position

Roland Garros ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Jakub Mensik

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.65K

Magda Linette position

Roland Garros WTA: Jelena Ostapenko vs Magda Linette

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.54K

Juan Manuel Cerundolo position

Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin Landaluce

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5K

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.47K

Zachary Svajda position

Roland Garros ATP: Alexei Popyrin vs Zachary Svajda

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.39K

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.32K

Spurs position

Thunder vs. Spurs

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.27K

Yes position

Will Trump shake hands with Volodymyr Zelenskyy at the World Economic Forum?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23K

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Cavaliers

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22K

Frances Tiafoe position

Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances Tiafoe

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22K

Matteo Berrettini position

Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Francisco Comesana

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.16K

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $1.06K

Yes position

Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $999.82

Yes position

Will Marc-André ter Stegen sign with a new club during the winter transfer window?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $991.95

Yes position

Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $985.69

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $925.33

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $923.2

Alejandro Tabilo position

Roland Garros ATP: Moise Kouame vs Alejandro Tabilo

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $917.01

Matteo Arnaldi position

Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Raphael Collignon

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $909.98

Yes position

Will Italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $898.28

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Cavaliers

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $855

Nuno Borges position

Roland Garros ATP: Nuno Borges vs Miomir Kecmanovic

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $818.98

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Luis Diaz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.8% 4,817.53 shares
Will the announcers say "Hattrick / Hat Trick" during the Germany vs Ivory Coast FIFA World Cup Match?

No 47% 9.43 shares
Will the announcers say "Hattrick / Hat Trick" during the Germany vs Ivory Coast FIFA World Cup Match?

No 47% 39.99 shares
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.1% 150,000 shares
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?

Yes 41% 10 shares
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?

No 60% 900 shares
Will Eberechi Eze be in England's Starting 11?

No 97% 26.41 shares
Will Ollie Watkins be in England's Starting 11?

No 98% 111.99 shares
Will Michael Olise record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 21% 183.32 shares
Will Elliot Anderson be in England's Starting 11?

Yes 95.5% 138.18 shares
Will Reece James be in England's Starting 11?

Yes 98.3% 97.5 shares
Will Declan Rice be in England's Starting 11?

Yes 99% 15 shares