Yes position
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $125.78
- Potential payout
- $125.85
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- User PnL
- $18.07
Polymarket Trader
MuruganThunai
0x1e3e1a8bedff7c86a1da107b4119805d3fbcd953
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $125.78
- Realized PnL
- $2.04K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.05
- Potential profit
- $13.05
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.75
- Potential profit
- $10.75
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
Ends Dec 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180.42
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
Ends Dec 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $153.26
No position
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on April 20?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $134.58
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.47
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on March 18?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 20?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $104.92
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 10AM ET
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $101.19
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 5°C on March 26?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.13
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 9AM ET
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $72.7
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C on February 3?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.56
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 2AM ET
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $70
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on March 28?
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.58
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.59
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on February 5?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.66
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on March 26?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.62
No position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C or below on March 24?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.05
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $63.27
No position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C or below on March 28?
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.7
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on March 29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.81
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $61.64
No position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C or below on March 17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.43
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on April 8?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.86
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
Ends Dec 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $59.04
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on March 23?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.18
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?Yes 84.7% 47.21 shares
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?Yes 86.1% 78.64 shares
- Solana Up or Down - June 30, 7:25AM-7:30AM ETUp 55.9% 18.51 shares
- Solana Up or Down - June 30, 7:25AM-7:30AM ETUp 54% 18.52 shares
- Solana Up or Down - June 29, 5:20AM-5:25AM ETDown 64% 9.91 shares
- Solana Up or Down - June 29, 5:20AM-5:25AM ETDown 60.5% 9.92 shares
- Solana Up or Down - June 29, 4:45AM-4:50AM ETUp 73% 16.12 shares
- Solana Up or Down - June 29, 4:45AM-4:50AM ETUp 62% 16.13 shares
- Solana Up or Down - June 29, 4:45AM-4:50AM ETDown 38.3% 8.92 shares
- Solana Up or Down - June 29, 4:45AM-4:50AM ETDown 56% 8.93 shares
- Solana Up or Down - June 29, 4:40AM-4:45AM ETUp 82% 6.1 shares
- Solana Up or Down - June 28, 8:30PM-8:35PM ETDown 67% 5.31 shares