Polymarket Trader

Duskdrift

0x1e49d35972b2457149d05174b6e3036c4111a273

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $16.81
Realized PnL: -$10.83
Win rate: 25%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 4
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Over position

Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.7K
Potential profit: $1.7K
User PnL: -$1.04K

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.8%
Current value: $16.81
Potential payout: $17.75
Potential profit: $0.93
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$0.19

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Nuggets position

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.56

No position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.9%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$5.24

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.88

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 95.8% 17.75 shares
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

No 88.5% 23.41 shares
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

No 89.7% 23.41 shares
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5

Over 61% 1,704.92 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 7.3% 1,234.56 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.1% 1,234.57 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 80% 130.95 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 84% 130.95 shares
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets

Nuggets 81% 23.73 shares

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