No position
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $9.94K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $55
- User PnL
- $215
Polymarket Trader
.ethguy
0x1e55408f217f58facdf1d663c74cfa7f55e9e3e2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $10.91K
- Realized PnL
- $57.18K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $191.11
- Potential payout
- $1.32K
- Potential profit
- $1.13K
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$141.61
No position
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $168.96
- Potential payout
- $1.21K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$577.22
No position
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $606.72
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $594.71
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $306.36
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.71K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.99K
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.42K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.05K
No position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.7K
No position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.94K
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $2.84K
Yes position
Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.84K
Yes position
Will 15-19 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.75K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.42K
Charles Oliveira position
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.95K
Yes position
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.93K
No position
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.66K
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.57K
Carlos Ulberg position
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
Carlos Prates position
UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.46K
No position
Will Opensea launch a token by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.45K
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19K
No position
Maduro trial scheduled by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17K
No position
Will Trump say "The State of the Union is strong" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1K
Yes position
Will 40-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $958.62
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $902.64
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $879.82
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $802.44
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 58% 280.66 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 45% 1,465.93 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Yes 98.3% 946.54 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 14.3% 10,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 97.1% 4,999.78 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 95% 9,509.23 shares
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5Over 39% 204 shares
- Spread: IR Iran (-1.5)IR Iran 25% 204 shares
- IR Iran leading at halftime?Yes 37% 102 shares
- Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?Yes 29% 102 shares
- Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 1 - 2 Uruguay?No 90% 200 shares
- Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 1 - 1 Uruguay?No 90% 200 shares