No position
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $62.5
- User PnL
- -$3
Polymarket Trader
stht5
0x1e5e7b19f2f3ff94dc8b60cd77d7c86d2dd40ce0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $148.61
- Realized PnL
- $36.2
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $56.89
- Potential payout
- $57.61
- Potential profit
- $0.72
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $3.89
Yes position
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $34.13
- Potential payout
- $37.5
- Potential profit
- $3.38
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $4.13
No position
Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $21
- Potential payout
- $21.76
- Potential profit
- $0.76
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $18.02
- Potential payout
- $19.28
- Potential profit
- $1.25
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $2.02
No position
Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $18.57
- Potential payout
- $18.73
- Potential profit
- $0.16
- User PnL
- $0.57
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.24
Yes position
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.36
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.34
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05
No position
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will Bologna win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Z.ai have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200k in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?No 96.5% 21.76 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?No 97.5% 19.49 shares
- Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?No 97.5% 17.74 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.8% 28.4 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 92% 57.61 shares
- Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2026?No 96.1% 18.73 shares
- Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?No 95.8% 17.75 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?No 83% 19.28 shares
- Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 4.8% 62.5 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No 95% 41.05 shares
- Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 82.9% 66.36 shares
- Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Yes 80% 37.5 shares