0xe87CD7BFB72Cc4edECE5B1bc04e2080C9D61DF13-1773416634416

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.3
Potential profit: $333.3
User PnL: -$1.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 55°F or below on March 8?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.6
Potential profit: $60.6
User PnL: -$1.73

Yes position

Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?

Implied probability: 49.6%
Current value: $24.78
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $25.23
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Trump out as President before GTA VI?

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $24.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $25.25
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $25.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $24.75
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

GTA VI released before June 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $50
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $25

Yes position

Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $24.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $25.25
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?

Implied probability: 58%
Current value: $29
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $21
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: $4

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 5?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.7
Potential profit: $39.7
User PnL: -$5.67

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on March 8?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.09
Potential profit: $24.09
User PnL: -$9.88

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on March 9?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.5
Potential profit: $23.5
User PnL: -$9.87

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C or higher on March 8?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.69
Potential profit: $21.69
User PnL: -$6

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 4°C on March 6?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.2
Potential profit: $18.2
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 8?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.3
Potential profit: $17.3
User PnL: -$9.96

No position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on March 8?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.7
Potential profit: $12.7
User PnL: -$7.02

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C or higher on March 5?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.7
Potential profit: $11.7
User PnL: -$1.99

No position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C or higher on March 6?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.09
Potential profit: $11.09
User PnL: -$3.97

No position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 7?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$6.25

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 78°F or higher on March 10?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9
Potential profit: $9
User PnL: -$3.06

No position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on March 10?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.29
Potential profit: $8.29
User PnL: -$2.99

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 4°C on March 8?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.19
Potential profit: $8.19
User PnL: -$3.6

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 5?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.8
Potential profit: $7.8
User PnL: -$4.06

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

GTA VI released before June 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.65

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 12?

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.16

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 4°C on March 5?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.07

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 8?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.59

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on March 11?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.56

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on March 12?

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.31

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.27

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on March 5?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.52

No position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on March 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.51

No position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C on March 10?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.45

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on March 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.22

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 8?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.01

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on March 7?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 4°C on March 7?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on March 8?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.68

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on March 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.68

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on March 5?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.39

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on March 8?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.38

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 7?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on March 7?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.05

No position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on March 7?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.05

No position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on March 7?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.05

No position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C or below on March 7?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on March 7?