hgqj91zohb62

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $8.55
Potential payout: $380.22
Potential profit: $371.67
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$21.44

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $8.31
Potential payout: $272.53
Potential profit: $264.22
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: $0.95

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $13.82
Potential payout: $232.33
Potential profit: $218.51
Multiplier: 16.81x
User PnL: $8.71

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 15.6%
Current value: $29.84
Potential payout: $191.87
Potential profit: $162.03
Multiplier: 6.43x
User PnL: $7.42

No position

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $146.36
Potential payout: $186.44
Potential profit: $40.08
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $36.36

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 32.8%
Current value: $42.69
Potential payout: $130.34
Potential profit: $87.65
Multiplier: 3.05x
User PnL: -$0.42

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $27.32
Potential payout: $121.43
Potential profit: $94.11
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: $7.32

No position

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $91.16
Potential payout: $109.18
Potential profit: $18.01
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $1.16

Yes position

Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $9.98
Potential payout: $95.03
Potential profit: $85.05
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$10.02

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 18.8%
Current value: $15.8
Potential payout: $84.28
Potential profit: $68.48
Multiplier: 5.33x
User PnL: $0.89

Yes position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $16.13
Potential payout: $78.67
Potential profit: $62.54
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$13.87

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $3.82
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $55
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$6.18

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 18.6%
Current value: $7.02
Potential payout: $37.84
Potential profit: $30.82
Multiplier: 5.39x
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $1.11
Potential payout: $34.24
Potential profit: $33.13
Multiplier: 30.77x
User PnL: -$0.93

Yes position

Weed rescheduled by December 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $5.92
Potential payout: $26.92
Potential profit: $21
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: -$3.71

No position

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $23.72
Potential payout: $25.64
Potential profit: $1.92
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $3.72

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $12.06
Potential payout: $19.61
Potential profit: $7.55
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $2.06

No position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $12.07
Potential payout: $15.18
Potential profit: $3.11
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $2.07

No position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $10.24
Potential payout: $12.05
Potential profit: $1.81
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $0.24

No position

Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $10.65
Potential payout: $11.9
Potential profit: $1.25
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $0.65

No position

Iran Nuke before 2027?

Implied probability: 94.9%
Current value: $11.03
Potential payout: $11.63
Potential profit: $0.6
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $1.03

No position

Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $10.03
Potential payout: $10.3
Potential profit: $0.27
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.03

No position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $10.01
Potential payout: $10.19
Potential profit: $0.19
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $8.2
Potential payout: $9.7
Potential profit: $1.5
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $2.79

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $254.09

No position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $166.75

Nets position

Nets vs. Pistons

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128.35

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.3

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.91

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.6

Alexandra Eala position

BNP Paribas Open: Coco Gauff vs Alexandra Eala

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.33

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.29

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.06

Yes position

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.14

Rodolfo Bellato position

UFC 326: Rodolfo Bellato vs. Luke Fernandez (Light Heavyweight, Early Prelims)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.82

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.58

Canadiens position

Canadiens vs. Kings

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.68

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $35.34

Sacred Heart Pioneers position

Sacred Heart Pioneers vs. Iona Gaels

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.34

Campbell Fighting Camels position

Campbell Fighting Camels vs. UNCW Seahawks

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.67

Boston Terriers position

Boston Terriers vs. Navy Midshipmen

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Grambling State Tigers position

Grambling State Tigers vs. Alabama State Hornets

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.93

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.33

Joao Fonseca position

BNP Paribas Open: Karen Khachanov vs Joao Fonseca

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.19

Gabriel Diallo position

BNP Paribas Open: Andrey Rublev vs Gabriel Diallo

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.4

Oklahoma Sooners position

Oklahoma Sooners vs. Texas Longhorns

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.01

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?