Yes position
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25K
- Potential profit
- $25K
- User PnL
- -$9.3K
Polymarket Trader
0x1e81f849986991C259C6A93432e5f28AF2365599-1759470391125
0x1e81f849986991c259c6a93432e5f28af2365599
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $136
- Realized PnL
- $11.58K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$966.52
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$875
No position
Will Trump say "Waste" this week? (March 1)
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $136
- Potential payout
- $1.6K
- Potential profit
- $1.46K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$184.76
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $1.4K
- User PnL
- -$365.67
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$60
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 3?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$33.28
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $550
- Potential profit
- $550
- User PnL
- -$86.5
Yes position
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$82
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$10.98
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 25, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $409.78
- Potential profit
- $409.78
- User PnL
- -$156.17
No position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 9?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$22.5
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $199.9
- Potential profit
- $199.9
- User PnL
- -$43.41
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $199.02
- Potential profit
- $199.02
- User PnL
- -$48.9
Panthers position
Sharks vs. Panthers
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $163.93
- Potential profit
- $163.93
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $155
- Potential profit
- $155
- User PnL
- -$82.75
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 24, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $110.13
- Potential profit
- $110.13
- User PnL
- -$41.35
No position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100.03
- Potential profit
- $100.03
- User PnL
- -$3.8
No position
Military action against Iran ends by April 16, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$2.65
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$24
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.79K
No position
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.03K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3K
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $882.2
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $815
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $262.14
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125.7
Yes position
Will Iran strike Kuwait by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.52
Hurricanes position
Sabres vs. Hurricanes
Ends Jan 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.06
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $40
Yes position
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $29.8
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.1
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.86
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 3, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.75
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.12
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.89
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 26, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.95
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 8, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.2
Hornets position
76ers vs. Hornets
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.04
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes 13% 50 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes 13% 100 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes 13% 300 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes 21% 50 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 14% 500 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Yes 54% 50 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Yes 53.1% 100 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes 27% 50 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 2% 5,000 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?Yes 4.1% 90 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes 42% 50 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?Yes 31.9% 50 shares