Yes position
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.3%
- Current value
- $468.73
- Potential payout
- $5.04K
- Potential profit
- $4.57K
- Multiplier
- 10.75x
- User PnL
- -$18.38
Polymarket Trader
Changho
0x1e864c94086739dfd8fbbaf1800c0d0406084252
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $566.87
- Realized PnL
- -$1.35K
- Win rate
- 26.3%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.4%
- Current value
- $39.35
- Potential payout
- $471.25
- Potential profit
- $431.9
- Multiplier
- 11.98x
- User PnL
- -$3.65
Yes position
Yoon out of custody before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.9%
- Current value
- $34.49
- Potential payout
- $289.85
- Potential profit
- $255.36
- Multiplier
- 8.40x
- User PnL
- -$28.63
Yes position
Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.4%
- Current value
- $12.81
- Potential payout
- $173.14
- Potential profit
- $160.33
- Multiplier
- 13.51x
- User PnL
- $0.81
Yes position
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $6.5
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $160.17
- Multiplier
- 25.64x
- User PnL
- -$3.5
Yes position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Current value
- $4.99
- Potential payout
- $136.72
- Potential profit
- $131.73
- Multiplier
- 27.40x
- User PnL
- -$5.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Kim Moon-soo win more than 40% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $225.96
Justin Gaethje position
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132
Ciryl Gane position
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.35
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.71
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.16
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the People Power Party (PPP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11
Steve Garcia position
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$33
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$35.72
Yes position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$48.21
Yes position
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea before September?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Du Plessis position
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev
Ends Aug 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Yoon arrested by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$104.96
Yes position
Yoon out of custody by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$115.88
Yes position
Yoon out of custody in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$146.82
Yes position
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$483.02
Yes position
Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$550.44
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?Yes 8.8% 130.86 shares
- Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?Yes 9.8% 1,020.41 shares
- Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?Yes 8.5% 292.02 shares
- Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?Yes 9.5% 1,047.31 shares
- Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?Yes 9.3% 1,069.8 shares
- Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?Yes 9.4% 1,064.37 shares
- Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?Yes 8.4% 9.32 shares
- UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)Ciryl Gane 51% 63.98 shares
- UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)Steve Garcia 44% 75 shares
- UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)Justin Gaethje 20% 165 shares
- Will the People Power Party (PPP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?Yes 1.3% 769.23 shares
- Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?Yes 11.2% 89.32 shares